Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estrella vs Villaverde Norte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Gracia A.
77' Event
Damaso J.
80' Event
Damaso G.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 game between Estrella and Villaverde Norte finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estrella.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Estrella
22%
Draws
12%
Villaverde Norte
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Estrella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / High Confidence
  • Estrella carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 66% — that's where the model lands on Estrella taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Estrella Clean Sheet 20%
Villaverde Norte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estrella Villaverde Norte
Matches Played 29 4
Wins 8 0
Draws 9 1
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 0.97 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.52 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.36 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs Villaverde Norte
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estrella Compare

Top Goalscorer Damaso G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Damaso J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.68

Villaverde Norte Compare

Top Goalscorer Gracia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estrella 58 / 100
Villaverde Norte 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estrella Villaverde Norte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villaverde Norte has conceded goals in 100% of their last 4 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Estrella has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Villaverde Norte lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estrella VS Villaverde Norte
1.13 Goals Scored 0.6
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.6
75% Over 1.5 80%
25% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Estrella

(Home)
04 Oct
UD San Fernando
3 : 0
Estrella
25 Sept
Estrella
1 : 1
Las Palmas C
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2
Estrella
12 Sept
Estrella
3 : 1
Villaverde Norte
11 May
Estrella
2 : 1
Herbania
Page 1 of 6

Villaverde Norte

(Away)
03 Oct
Villaverde Norte
1 : 2
Mensajero
26 Sept
Villa Santa Brigida
2 : 0
Villaverde Norte
19 Sept
Villaverde Norte
1 : 1
Lanzarote
12 Sept
Estrella
3 : 1
Villaverde Norte

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD San Fernando 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
2 Real Union Tenerife 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
3 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
4 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
5 CD Marino 4 2 1 1 12:6 7
6 Las Palmas C 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
7 San Miguel 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
8 Panaderia 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
9 Los Llanos 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Lanzarote 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
11 Villa Santa Brigida 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
12 Tenerife C 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
13 Estrella 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Anaza 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
15 Union Sur Yaiza 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
16 CD Laguna 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
17 Villaverde Norte 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)