Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estudiantes de Guarico W vs U. Espanola W

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Basanta L.
67' Event
Lattanzio G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Estudiantes de Guarico W
20%
Draws
40%
U. Espanola W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Estudiantes de Guarico W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Estudiantes de Guarico W's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Estudiantes de Guarico W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Estudiantes de Guarico W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Estudiantes de Guarico W Clean Sheet 20%
U. Espanola W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantes de Guarico W U. Espanola W
Matches Played 14 9
Wins 6 2
Draws 4 2
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.14 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2017 Copa Libertadores Women
Estudiantes de Guarico W vs U. Espanola W
1:1
Dec 8, 2016 Copa Libertadores Women
Estudiantes de Guarico W vs U. Espanola W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estudiantes de Guarico W Compare

Top Goalscorer Basanta L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

U. Espanola W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lattanzio G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes de Guarico W 49 / 100
U. Espanola W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantes de Guarico W U. Espanola W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estudiantes de Guarico W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: U. Espanola W conceded in 89% of 9 recent games.

Estudiantes de Guarico W's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Estudiantes de Guarico W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes de Guarico W VS U. Espanola W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Estudiantes de Guarico W

(Home)
15 Oct
Estudiantes de Guarico W
0 : 1
River Plate W
12 Oct
Estudiantes de Guarico W
1 : 1
U. Espanola W
07 Oct
Deportivo Capiata W
0 : 2
Estudiantes de Guarico W
20 Dec
Libertad Limpeno W
2 : 1
Estudiantes de Guarico W
17 Dec
Estudiantes de Guarico W
2 : 0
Colon W
Page 1 of 3

U. Espanola W

(Away)
26 Nov
U. Espanola W
1 : 3
Huila W
23 Nov
U. Espanola W
0 : 2
Penarol W
19 Nov
Osasco Audax W
0 : 1
U. Espanola W
15 Oct
U. Espanola W
3 : 1
Deportivo Capiata W
12 Oct
Estudiantes de Guarico W
1 : 1
U. Espanola W
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate W 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 U. Espanola W 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Estudiantes de Guarico W 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
4 Deportivo Capiata W 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo W 3 2 1 0 12:5 7
2 Cerro Porteno W 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Universitario de Deportes W 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
4 Colon W 3 0 0 3 3:8 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Osasco Audax W 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Indep. Santa Fe W 3 1 1 1 12:6 4
3 Libertad Limpeno W 3 1 1 1 8:5 4
4 Deportivo ITA W 3 0 0 3 4:21 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2017 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams