Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estudiantes L.P. vs Ind. Medellin

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Fydriszewski F.
34'
Carrillo G.
52'
Chaux E.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Estudiantes L.P.
20%
Draws
40%
Ind. Medellin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Estudiantes L.P. haven't matched Ind. Medellin's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Ind. Medellin arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Estudiantes L.P., who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Estudiantes L.P. Clean Sheet 17%
Ind. Medellin Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantes L.P. Ind. Medellin
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.21 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Estudiantes L.P. vs Ind. Medellin
1:0
Apr 9, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Ind. Medellin vs Estudiantes L.P.
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estudiantes L.P. Compare

Top Goalscorer Amondarain M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ind. Medellin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes L.P. 31 / 100
Ind. Medellin 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantes L.P. Ind. Medellin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estudiantes L.P.'s goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Ind. Medellin conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Estudiantes L.P. stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes L.P. VS Ind. Medellin
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Estudiantes L.P.

(Home)
26 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 3
Rosario Central
22 Sept
Lanus
2 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
17 Sept
Corinthians
0 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
12 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
2 : 1
Platense
10 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 1
Corinthians
Page 1 of 6

Ind. Medellin

(Away)
27 Sept
Junior
2 : 0
Ind. Medellin
22 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1
Jaguares de Cordoba
18 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 2
Ind. Medellin
12 Sept
Chico
2 : 1
Ind. Medellin
10 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 4
Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
3 Ind. Medellin 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 4:12 1
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Universitario de Deportes 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Rivadavia 6 5 1 0 15:6 16
2 Fluminense 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Bolivar 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 Deportivo La Guaira 6 0 3 3 6:13 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. Catolica 6 4 1 1 8:4 13
2 Cruzeiro 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
3 Boca Juniors 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
4 Barcelona SC 6 1 0 5 2:12 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Platense 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
3 Santa Fe 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
4 Penarol 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cerro Porteno 6 4 1 1 6:2 13
2 Palmeiras 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
3 Sporting Cristal 6 2 0 4 6:9 6
4 Junior 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 LDU Quito 6 4 0 2 8:5 12
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 3:7 9
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 7:9 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Rosario Central 6 4 1 1 9:1 13
3 Universidad Central 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
4 Libertad Asuncion 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)