Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estudiantes L.P. vs Union de Santa Fe

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata
Estudiantes L.P. Logo

Estudiantes L.P.

2 - 1
FT
Union de Santa Fe Logo

Union de Santa Fe

Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Sosa J.
30'
Del Blanco M.
36' Event
Estigarribia M.
Assist: Palacios J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Estudiantes L.P. in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Estudiantes L.P..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Estudiantes L.P.
15%
Draws
48%
Union de Santa Fe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Union de Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Estudiantes L.P. have won more games recently than Union de Santa Fe.
  • Model gives Union de Santa Fe a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Estudiantes L.P. Clean Sheet 20%
Union de Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantes L.P. Union de Santa Fe
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga Profesional
Estudiantes L.P. vs Union de Santa Fe
2:1
Jul 15, 2025 Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.
1:0
Jan 25, 2025 Liga Profesional
Estudiantes L.P. vs Union de Santa Fe
3:1
Jul 21, 2024 Liga Profesional
Estudiantes L.P. vs Union de Santa Fe
0:0
Feb 2, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Union de Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P.
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estudiantes L.P. Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez Fabricio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amondarain M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Union de Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Estigarribia M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes L.P. 28 / 100
Union de Santa Fe 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantes L.P. Union de Santa Fe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union de Santa Fe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union de Santa Fe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Estudiantes L.P. scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Estudiantes L.P. has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes L.P. VS Union de Santa Fe
1.5 Goals Scored 1.71
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Estudiantes L.P.

(Home)
26 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 3
Rosario Central
22 Sept
Lanus
2 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
17 Sept
Corinthians
0 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
12 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
2 : 1
Platense
10 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 1
Corinthians
Page 1 of 7

Union de Santa Fe

(Away)
19 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
1 : 2
Independiente
12 Sept
Talleres Cordoba
2 : 1
Union de Santa Fe
08 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
3 : 2
Instituto
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
21 Aug
Aldosivi
1 : 3
Union de Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 19:7 31
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 22:9 30
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 18:12 28
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 17:13 26
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 24:20 24
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 18:15 24
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 14:14 22
8 Union de Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 24:20 21
9 Instituto 16 6 3 7 17:17 21
10 Defensa y Justicia 16 4 7 5 18:21 19
11 Gimnasia Mendoza 16 5 4 7 14:22 19
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 10:15 16
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 16 4 4 8 11:21 16
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 15:27 15
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 5:12 11
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 29:15 34
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 22:12 29
3 Argentinos Jrs 16 8 5 3 17:13 29
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 20:16 28
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 16 7 5 4 17:13 26
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 19:19 26
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 17:13 22
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 17:15 21
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 15:15 21
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 18:15 20
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 13:20 19
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 17:19 18
13 Atl. Tucuman 16 3 5 8 15:20 14
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 6:19 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 5:24 5
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)