Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estudiantes Merida U20 vs Bolivar U20

South America South America

Copa Libertadores U20 Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Eguez T.
28'
Sub
Garcia S. In: Senzano J.
Out: Garcia S.
30'
Gimenez D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Bolivar U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Estudiantes Merida U20
39%
Draws
30%
Bolivar U20
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Bolivar U20's 1.33 goals per match outpaces what Estudiantes Merida U20 have produced (0.67).
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Bolivar U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Estudiantes Merida U20 Clean Sheet 11%
Bolivar U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantes Merida U20 Bolivar U20
Matches Played 3 3
Wins 1 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 2 2
Goals Scored 0.67 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.33 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Copa Libertadores U20
Estudiantes Merida U20 vs Bolivar U20
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Estudiantes Merida U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Bolivar U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sosa I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Borhen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes Merida U20 30 / 100
Bolivar U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantes Merida U20 Bolivar U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estudiantes Merida U20 scored in 67% of their last 3 games.

Bolivar U20 let in goals in 67% of their last 3 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Estudiantes Merida U20 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes Merida U20 VS Bolivar U20
0.67 Goals Scored 1.33
2.33 Goals Conceded 1.67
67% Over 1.5 67%
67% Over 2.5 67%
33% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Estudiantes Merida U20

(Home)
13 Mar
Estudiantes Merida U20
0 : 3
Bolivar U20
11 Mar
Ind. Medellin U20
0 : 1
Estudiantes Merida U20
08 Mar
Flamengo RJ U20
4 : 1
Estudiantes Merida U20

Bolivar U20

(Away)
13 Mar
Estudiantes Merida U20
0 : 3
Bolivar U20
10 Mar
Bolivar U20
1 : 4
Flamengo RJ U20
07 Mar
Ind. Medellin U20
1 : 0
Bolivar U20

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo RJ U2032108:27
2Ind. Medellin U2031111:14
3Bolivar U2031024:53
4Estudiantes Merida U2031022:73
Promotion - Copa Libertadores U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras U2032107:17
2Olimpia Asuncion U2032015:26
3U. Catolica U2031022:63
4Sporting Cristal U2030122:71
Promotion - Copa Libertadores U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1S. Wanderers U2032107:37
2Club Nacional U2032016:56
3LDU Quito U2030215:62
4CA Belgrano de Cordoba U2030123:71
Promotion - Copa Libertadores U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams