Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estudiantes Merida vs Trujillanos

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Metropolitano de Mérida, Mérida
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estudiantes Merida host Trujillanos in the Liga FUTVE. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Estudiantes Merida at 1.17 goals for, 1.28 against; Trujillanos at 0.93 for, 1.69 against. Head-to-head, Estudiantes Merida have won 4 to Trujillanos's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.25 - 1.00) back Estudiantes Merida to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Estudiantes Merida
15%
Draws
26%
Trujillanos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estudiantes Merida

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Trujillanos haven't matched Estudiantes Merida's recent run of results.
  • Estudiantes Merida are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Estudiantes Merida here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Estudiantes Merida Clean Sheet 68%
Trujillanos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantes Merida Trujillanos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.17 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Trujillanos vs Estudiantes Merida
0:2
Sep 10, 2021 Liga FUTVE
Trujillanos vs Estudiantes Merida
1:1
Jul 22, 2021 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Trujillanos
4:2
Jun 4, 2021 Liga FUTVE
Trujillanos vs Estudiantes Merida
0:7
Apr 16, 2021 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Trujillanos
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes Merida 95 / 100
Trujillanos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantes Merida Trujillanos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estudiantes Merida Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trujillanos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Estudiantes Merida scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Estudiantes Merida has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Estudiantes Merida VS Trujillanos
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Estudiantes Merida

(Home)
16 Sept
Portuguesa
2 : 1
Estudiantes Merida
12 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
2 : 0
Dep. Tachira
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Estudiantes Merida
03 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1
Universidad Central
30 Aug
Deportivo La Guaira
1 : 2
Estudiantes Merida
Page 1 of 6

Trujillanos

(Away)
16 Sept
Trujillanos
2 : 4
Rayo Zuliano
13 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2
Trujillanos
10 Sept
Lara
2 : 1
Trujillanos
06 Sept
Trujillanos
0 : 1
Caracas
03 Sept
Metropolitanos
4 : 1
Trujillanos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitanos 10 8 1 1 21:8 25
2 Dep. Tachira 10 6 2 2 20:12 20
3 Carabobo 10 5 2 3 11:7 17
4 Portuguesa 10 4 5 1 13:10 17
5 Deportivo La Guaira 10 5 1 4 19:12 16
6 Academia Puerto Cabello 10 4 4 2 13:8 16
7 Estudiantes Merida 10 4 3 3 11:11 15
8 Universidad Central 10 4 2 4 11:10 14
9 Monagas 10 4 1 5 11:12 13
10 Caracas 10 2 4 4 8:13 10
11 Rayo Zuliano 10 3 1 6 16:22 10
12 Trujillanos 10 3 1 6 11:17 10
13 Zamora 10 2 2 6 9:18 8
14 Academia Anzoategui 10 1 1 8 5:19 4
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)