Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Estudiantes vs Atl. Deportivo

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Estudiantes play Atl. Deportivo in the Division di Honor. It looks like a close match. Recently, Estudiantes averaged 1.23 goals scored and 3.67 conceded. Atl. Deportivo averaged 1.35 goals scored and 3.7 conceded. In past meetings, Estudiantes won 1, Atl. Deportivo won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 31, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Estudiantes and 2.81 for Atl. Deportivo. This points to a Atl. Deportivo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Estudiantes
15%
Draws
48%
Atl. Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atl. Deportivo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Estudiantes picked up more points recently compared to Atl. Deportivo.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 2.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 98%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 51%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Estudiantes Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Deportivo Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 88%
Second Half Goal 93%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Estudiantes Atl. Deportivo
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 4 4
Draws 1 0
Losses 25 16
Goals Scored 1.23 1.35
Goals Conceded 3.67 3.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Division di Honor
Estudiantes vs Atl. Deportivo
3:2
Apr 30, 2026 Division di Honor
Atl. Deportivo vs Estudiantes
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Estudiantes 35 / 100
Atl. Deportivo 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Estudiantes Atl. Deportivo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atl. Deportivo or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Estudiantes attacking → ← attacking Atl. Deportivo

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estudiantes scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Atl. Deportivo let in goals in 95% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Estudiantes went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Atl. Deportivo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 12
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
3.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Deportivo Nacional10100056:1130
2Caravel1061322:2019
3FC San Nicolaas1041523:2913
4Atl. Deportivo1040621:1712
5Estudiantes1030720:339
6Real Koyari1020811:436
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Caiquetio1055018:620
2River Plate1053228:1818
3Estrella1052323:2317
4Brazil Juniors1034316:1513
5Jong Aruba1034319:1613
6Unistars1000107:330