Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Mbombela Stadium, Mbombela

Eswatini

0 - 3

Mozambique

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Domingues

Assist: Langa B.

38'

Sub

Mkhontfo M. In: Matse S.

Out: Mkhontfo M.

38'

Sub

Mavuso T. In: Matsebula B.

Out: Mavuso T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Mozambique advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

Eswatini

15%

Draws

64%

Mozambique

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mozambique

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Mozambique carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Mozambique arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Mozambique, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%

Eswatini Clean Sheet 12%

Mozambique Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Eswatini	Mozambique
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	4	8
Draws	9	5
Losses	16	15
Goals Scored	0.72	0.96
Goals Conceded	1.52	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.05	1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Eswatini vs Mozambique

0:3

Oct 11, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Mozambique vs Eswatini

1:1

Jun 29, 2024 COSAFA Cup

Mozambique vs Eswatini

0:0

May 24, 2022 Friendly International

Mozambique vs Eswatini

0:1

Jul 18, 2021 COSAFA Cup

Eswatini vs Mozambique

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eswatini Compare

Avg xG / game 0.81

Avg xA / game 0.53

Mozambique Compare

Top Goalscorer Domingues

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ratifo S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.57

Avg xA / game 0.96

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eswatini 35 / 100

Mozambique 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Eswatini Mozambique

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mozambique Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mozambique has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Mozambique has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Eswatini found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Eswatini VS Mozambique

0.6 Goals Scored 1.25

2.2 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 63%

60% Over 2.5 50%

20% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eswatini

(Home)

31 Mar

Eswatini

1 : 2

Eritrea

25 Mar

Eritrea

2 : 0

Eswatini

13 Oct

Cape Verde

3 : 0

Eswatini

08 Oct

Eswatini

2 : 2

Angola

08 Sept

Libya

2 : 0

Eswatini

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Mozambique

(Away)

09 Jun

Indonesia

1 : 0

Mozambique

07 Jun

Oman

4 : 1

Mozambique

05 Jan

Nigeria

4 : 0

Mozambique

31 Dec

Mozambique

1 : 2

Cameroon

28 Dec

Gabon

2 : 3

Mozambique

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