Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eswatini W vs Mozambique W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025
Sat, Nov 22, 2025
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eswatini W play Mozambique W in the Friendly International Women 2025. Mozambique W are favorites here. Recently, Eswatini W averaged 0.81 goals scored and 2.52 conceded. Mozambique W averaged 1.04 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. In past meetings, Eswatini W won 0, Mozambique W won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Nov 30, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Eswatini W and 1.19 for Mozambique W. This points to a Mozambique W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Eswatini W
30%
Draws
57%
Mozambique W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mozambique W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • Eswatini W picked up more points recently compared to Mozambique W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Eswatini W Clean Sheet 20%
Mozambique W Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eswatini W Mozambique W
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 3 10
Draws 2 7
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 0.81 1.04
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2025 Friendly International Women
Mozambique W vs Eswatini W
0:0
Nov 29, 2025 Friendly International Women
Mozambique W vs Eswatini W
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Friendly International Women
Eswatini W vs Mozambique W
0:1
Nov 22, 2025 Friendly International Women
Eswatini W vs Mozambique W
0:0
Oct 13, 2024 Friendly International Women
Mozambique W vs Eswatini W
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eswatini W 16 / 100
Mozambique W 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eswatini W Mozambique W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mozambique W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Mozambique W & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +160%
20.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Eswatini W attacking → ← attacking Mozambique W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eswatini W scored in 44% of their last 27 games.

Mozambique W let in goals in 60% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Eswatini W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Mozambique W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 37
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50