Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eswatini W vs Zimbabwe W

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, Polokwane
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Zvawanda P.
53' Event
Makore R.
86'
Gamedze N.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Eswatini W
20%
Draws
60%
Zimbabwe W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zimbabwe W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zimbabwe W lately — more wins on the board than Eswatini W.
  • Eswatini W are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Zimbabwe W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zimbabwe W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zimbabwe W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Eswatini W Clean Sheet 20%
Zimbabwe W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eswatini W Zimbabwe W
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 3 12
Draws 2 3
Losses 22 12
Goals Scored 0.81 1.3
Goals Conceded 2.52 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 COSAFA Cup Women
Eswatini W vs Zimbabwe W
0:2
Oct 26, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Eswatini W vs Zimbabwe W
0:3
Oct 20, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Zimbabwe W vs Eswatini W
3:1
Aug 5, 2019 COSAFA Cup Women
Zimbabwe W vs Eswatini W
7:0
Sep 14, 2018 COSAFA Cup Women
Zimbabwe W vs Eswatini W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eswatini W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Zimbabwe W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zvawanda P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Makore R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eswatini W 36 / 100
Zimbabwe W 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eswatini W Zimbabwe W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Zimbabwe W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Zimbabwe W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Eswatini W scored in 44% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Eswatini W VS Zimbabwe W
0.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eswatini W

(Home)
24 Feb
Zambia W
2 : 1
Eswatini W
22 Feb
Botswana W
1 : 1
Eswatini W
19 Feb
Eswatini W
0 : 2
Zimbabwe W
23 Nov
Eswatini W
0 : 1
Mozambique W
22 Nov
Eswatini W
1 : 1
Lesotho W
Page 1 of 6

Zimbabwe W

(Away)
09 Jun
Zambia W
3 : 0
Zimbabwe W
06 Jun
Zimbabwe W
3 : 1
Lesotho W
01 Mar
Zambia W
3 : 1
Zimbabwe W
27 Feb
South Africa W
2 : 1
Zimbabwe W
24 Feb
Zimbabwe W
1 : 0
Botswana W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa W 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
3 Angola W 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Lesotho W 3 0 1 2 3:12 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia W 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Zimbabwe W 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
3 Eswatini W 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 Botswana W 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Namibia W 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Mozambique W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Madagascar W 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams