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Etar II vs FC Lovech

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West
Sat, May 16, 2026
3 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Etar II host FC Lovech in the Third League - North-West. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Etar II have averaged 1 scored and 2.13 conceded recently, against FC Lovech's 0 scored and 3 conceded. Head-to-head, Etar II have won 1 to FC Lovech's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 2.00 vs 1.56, favoring Etar II. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Etar II
6%
Draws
4%
FC Lovech
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Etar II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Etar II have won more games recently than FC Lovech.
  • Model gives Etar II a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - North-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Etar II Clean Sheet 15%
FC Lovech Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etar II FC Lovech
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Third League - North-West
Etar II vs FC Lovech
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 Third League - North-West
FC Lovech vs Etar II
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etar II 84 / 100
FC Lovech 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etar II FC Lovech

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Lovech lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Etar II found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

FC Lovech has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Etar II VS FC Lovech
1 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotiv Mezdra22191262:2058
2Akademik Svishtov22173240:1154
3Kom Berkovitsa22136346:2245
4Bdin Vidin22141757:2643
5Partizan Cerven Brjag2286825:2530
6Pavlikeni22931029:2430
7Etar II2285932:3129
8Yantra Polski Trambesh22661037:4724
9OFK Levski22651132:3523
10Troyan22511620:5616
11Juventus Malchika22211914:724
12FC Lovech22601618:4318