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Etar vs Fratria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Ivajlo Stadion, Veliko Tarnovo
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Etar host Fratria in the Vtora liga. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Etar at 1.96 goals for, 1.89 against; Fratria at 1.75 for, 0.93 against. Past meetings favor Fratria slightly — 0-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 17, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.88) point toward Fratria. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Etar
20%
Draws
52%
Fratria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fratria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Etar at 1.96 per game, Fratria at 1.75.
  • Fratria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Etar Clean Sheet 10%
Fratria Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etar Fratria
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 12
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.96 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.89 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2026 Vtora liga
Etar vs Fratria
1:1
Aug 10, 2025 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Etar
2:0
Apr 27, 2025 Vtora liga
Etar vs Fratria
1:1
Oct 24, 2024 Vtora liga
Fratria vs Etar
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etar 10 / 100
Fratria 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etar Fratria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fratria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etar's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Fratria conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Etar remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Etar VS Fratria
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Etar

(Home)
03 Oct
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 3
Etar
20 Sept
Etar
2 : 4
Chernomorets 1919
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
06 Sept
Etar
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
03 Sept
Vihren
4 : 1
Etar
Page 1 of 6

Fratria

(Away)
03 Oct
Balkan Botevgrad
0 : 3
Fratria
27 Sept
Fratria
3 : 0
Spartak Pleven
20 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 2
Fratria
15 Sept
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Fratria
07 Sept
Fratria
2 : 2
Chernomorets 1919
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 11 7 3 1 25:11 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 11 6 4 1 17:8 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
6 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
7 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
9 Yantra Gabrovo 11 5 1 5 12:11 16
10 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)