Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 Ivajlo Stadion

Etar

0 - 1

Hebar

Our Tip

Match Events

42'

Markov I.

55'

Tilev I.

60'

Traykov S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hebar in this Vtora liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hebar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Etar

33%

Draws

40%

Hebar

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Hebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Etar lately — more wins on the board than Hebar.
40% — that's where the model lands on Hebar taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Hebar have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Etar Clean Sheet 14%

Hebar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Etar	Hebar
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	11	10
Draws	8	4
Losses	12	14
Goals Scored	1.63	0.75
Goals Conceded	2.5	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Vtora liga

Etar vs Hebar

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Nov 8, 2025 Vtora liga

Hebar vs Etar

Possession: 50% - 48% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

May 25, 2024 efbet League

Hebar vs Etar

Possession: 59% - 54% Cards: 2 - 4

3:1

Apr 6, 2024 efbet League

Hebar vs Etar

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 4 - 1

3:0

Oct 8, 2023 efbet League

Etar vs Hebar

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Hebar Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamenov S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etar 27 / 100

Hebar 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Etar Hebar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HEB Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Etar scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Hebar has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: Hebar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Etar VS Hebar

1.63 Goals Scored 0.75

2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dunav Ruse	32	20	9	3	53:16	69
2	Yantra Gabrovo	32	18	10	4	45:24	64
3	Fratria	32	18	9	5	61:29	63
4	Vihren	32	17	7	8	59:34	58
5	CSKA Sofia II	32	16	7	9	57:32	55
6	Chernomorets 1919	32	11	13	8	38:32	46
7	Etar	32	11	11	10	39:43	44
8	Ludogorets II	32	11	8	13	41:43	41
9	Marek	32	10	11	11	27:35	41
10	Hebar	32	11	7	14	41:51	40
11	Pirin Blagoevgrad	32	9	11	12	38:41	38
12	Spartak Pleven	32	9	8	15	37:45	35
13	Svoge	32	9	7	16	28:48	34
14	Gorna	32	8	9	15	33:52	33
15	Sevlievo	32	9	5	18	29:52	32
16	Minyor Pernik	32	7	9	16	32:45	30
17	Belasitsa Petrich	32	4	7	21	26:62	19