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Ethio Electric S.C. vs Ethiopian Insurance

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

58'
Hussien H.
64'
Ganiyu I.
67' Event
Bezabih M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Ethio Electric S.C.
11%
Draws
9%
Ethiopian Insurance
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Ethio Electric S.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Ethio Electric S.C. have won more games recently than Ethiopian Insurance.
  • Win probability leans Ethio Electric S.C.'s way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Ethio Electric S.C. Clean Sheet 68%
Ethiopian Insurance Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethio Electric S.C. Ethiopian Insurance
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 12 14
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Ethiopian Insurance
1:1
Dec 5, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethio Electric S.C.
1:1
Apr 22, 2025 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Ethiopian Insurance
0:2
Sep 30, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethio Electric S.C.
0:0
May 3, 2023 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Ethiopian Insurance
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ethio Electric S.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Bezabih M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ethiopian Insurance Compare

Top Goalscorer Erbo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethio Electric S.C. 86 / 100
Ethiopian Insurance 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethio Electric S.C. Ethiopian Insurance

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethiopian Insurance let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Ethio Electric S.C. went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Ethiopian Insurance has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ethio Electric S.C. VS Ethiopian Insurance
1 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635