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Ethio Electric S.C. vs Hawassa

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Hussien H.
61' Event
Kebede G.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Ethio Electric S.C. and Hawassa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ethio Electric S.C.
39%
Draws
31%
Hawassa
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Ethio Electric S.C. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ethio Electric S.C. Clean Sheet 68%
Hawassa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethio Electric S.C. Hawassa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 12 13
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Hawassa
1:1
Jan 30, 2026 Premier League
Hawassa vs Ethio Electric S.C.
2:0
Apr 9, 2025 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Hawassa
1:1
Nov 1, 2024 Premier League
Hawassa vs Ethio Electric S.C.
1:2
Jun 9, 2023 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Hawassa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ethio Electric S.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Hussien H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Hawassa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kebede G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethio Electric S.C. 41 / 100
Hawassa 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethio Electric S.C. Hawassa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hawassa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ethio Electric S.C. stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Ethio Electric S.C. scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethio Electric S.C. VS Hawassa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635