Sport Picks

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Ethio Electric S.C. vs Hawassa

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Hussien H.
61' Event
Kebede G.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Ethio Electric S.C. and Hawassa finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ethio Electric S.C.
35%
Draws
25%
Hawassa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ethio Electric S.C.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ethio Electric S.C. carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ethio Electric S.C. a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ethio Electric S.C. Clean Sheet 68%
Hawassa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethio Electric S.C. Hawassa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 12 13
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.87 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.77 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Hawassa
1:1
Jan 30, 2026 Premier League
Hawassa vs Ethio Electric S.C.
2:0
Apr 9, 2025 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Hawassa
1:1
Nov 1, 2024 Premier League
Hawassa vs Ethio Electric S.C.
1:2
Jun 9, 2023 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Hawassa
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ethio Electric S.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Hussien H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Hawassa Compare

Top Goalscorer Kebede G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethio Electric S.C. 59 / 100
Hawassa 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethio Electric S.C. Hawassa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethio Electric S.C. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hawassa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ethio Electric S.C. stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Ethio Electric S.C. scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethio Electric S.C. VS Hawassa
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethio Electric S.C.

(Home)
05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1
Ethio Electric S.C.
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1
Hawassa
22 Jun
Welayta Dicha
1 : 2
Ethio Electric S.C.
16 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 0
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
30 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 1
Ethio Electric S.C.
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Hawassa

(Away)
02 Jul
Hawassa
2 : 3
Adama City
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1
Hawassa
21 Jun
Hawassa
0 : 0
Bahir Dar Kenema
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1
Hawassa
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sidama Bunna 38 19 11 8 43:23 68
2 Negele Arsi Ketema FC 38 15 15 8 37:30 60
3 Mechal SC 38 14 15 9 44:31 57
4 Fasil Kenema 38 14 13 11 28:28 55
5 Ethio Electric S.C. 38 13 15 10 32:26 54
6 St. Georges 38 14 12 12 33:31 54
7 Welayta Dicha 38 11 18 9 37:31 51
8 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 38 13 12 13 40:39 51
9 Hawassa 38 12 14 12 37:32 50
10 Sheger Ketema FC 38 11 17 10 34:31 50
11 Bahir Dar Kenema 38 9 21 8 28:28 48
12 Hadiya Hossana 38 11 15 12 31:35 48
13 Ethiopia Nigd Bank 38 11 14 13 45:45 47
14 Ethiopian Insurance 38 10 16 12 30:31 46
15 Adama City 38 10 16 12 35:39 46
16 Welwalo Adigrat 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
17 Shire Endaselassie 38 9 15 14 24:32 42
18 Dire Dawa 38 9 15 14 27:41 42
19 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC 38 8 16 14 26:38 40
20 Arba Menche 38 7 14 17 30:46 35
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)