Sport Picks
Match Events
61'
61'
Kudjoe C.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Ethio Electric S.C. and Mechal SC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mechal SC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ethio Electric S.C.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mechal SC carry the better recent record into this one.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Ethio Electric S.C. taking it.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Ethio Electric S.C. Clean Sheet 68%
Mechal SC Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ethio Electric S.C. | Mechal SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 29, 2026 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Mechal SC
0:1
Dec 21, 2025 Premier League
Mechal SC vs Ethio Electric S.C.
0:0
Jun 15, 2025 Premier League
Mechal SC vs Ethio Electric S.C.
0:1
Nov 25, 2024 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Mechal SC
1:1
May 23, 2023 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Mechal SC
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ethio Electric S.C. Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Mechal SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Kudjoe C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ethio Electric S.C. 86 / 100
Mechal SC 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ethio Electric S.C. Mechal SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ethio Electric S.C. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Ethio Electric S.C. stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Mechal SC lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Ethio Electric S.C.'s goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Ethio Electric S.C. VS Mechal SC
1 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ethio Electric S.C.
(Home) 05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
22 Jun
Welayta Dicha
1 : 2 Ethio Electric S.C.
16 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
30 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
16 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
20 May
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Dire Dawa
10 May
Ethio Electric S.C.
3 : 1 Fasil Kenema
29 Apr
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 1 Mechal SC
Page 1 of 3
Mechal SC
(Away) 03 Jul
Mechal SC
0 : 0 Hadiya Hossana
28 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
2 : 0 Mechal SC
21 Jun
Mechal SC
1 : 0 Ethiopian Insurance
14 Jun
St. Georges
3 : 0 Mechal SC
28 May
Mechal SC
1 : 2 Arba Menche
Page 1 of 6
28 Jun
Sheger Ketema FC
2 : 0 Mechal SC
14 Jun
St. Georges
3 : 0 Mechal SC
19 May
Bahir Dar Kenema
1 : 1 Mechal SC
09 May
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1 : 1 Mechal SC
29 Apr
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 1 Mechal SC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
