Sport Picks
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Arba Menche
Ethiopia
Premier League 
Match Events
16'
16'
Getachew B.
67'
67'
Yasin Y.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) have won more games recently than Arba Menche.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Clean Sheet 68%
Arba Menche Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | Arba Menche |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Arba Menche
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Premier League
Arba Menche vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
0:0
Jun 2, 2025 Premier League
Arba Menche vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1:0
Dec 4, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) vs Arba Menche
2:0
Apr 19, 2023 Premier League
Arba Menche vs Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Compare
Top Goalscorer Getachew B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Arba Menche Compare
Top Goalscorer Yasin Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) 86 / 100
Arba Menche 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) Arba Menche
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ETH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Arba Menche's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Solid form: Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Arba Menche lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) VS Arba Menche
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
(Home) 03 Jul
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
26 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
3 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
20 Jun
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
14 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1 : 2 Sidama Bunna
28 May
Hawassa
1 : 0 Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
3 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
14 Jun
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1 : 2 Sidama Bunna
20 May
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
2 : 1 Fasil Kenema
09 May
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
1 : 1 Mechal SC
30 Apr
Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)
2 : 4 Welwalo Adigrat
Page 1 of 3
Arba Menche
(Away) 01 Jul
Dire Dawa
2 : 1 Arba Menche
26 Jun
Arba Menche
0 : 1 Welwalo Adigrat
22 Jun
Fasil Kenema
2 : 0 Arba Menche
15 Jun
Arba Menche
2 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
28 May
Mechal SC
1 : 2 Arba Menche
Page 1 of 6
01 Jul
Dire Dawa
2 : 1 Arba Menche
22 Jun
Fasil Kenema
2 : 0 Arba Menche
28 May
Mechal SC
1 : 2 Arba Menche
16 May
Hawassa
0 : 0 Arba Menche
05 May
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
0 : 2 Arba Menche
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
