Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ethiopia U17 vs Egypt U17

Africa Africa

CAF African Championship U17 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
52' Event
89' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Ethiopia U17 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ethiopia U17
15%
Draws
59%
Egypt U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Egypt U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Ethiopia U17 haven't matched Egypt U17's recent run of results.
  • Egypt U17 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Egypt U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ethiopia U17, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ethiopia U17 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Ethiopia U17 Clean Sheet 14%
Egypt U17 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia U17 Egypt U17
Matches Played 16 33
Wins 6 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Egypt U17 vs Ethiopia U17
0:0
Aug 21, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Ethiopia U17 vs Egypt U17
2:1
Aug 6, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Egypt U17 vs Ethiopia U17
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia U17 15 / 100
Egypt U17 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia U17 Egypt U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Egypt U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Egypt U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 33 matches.

Ethiopia U17 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (16 games).

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ethiopia U17 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia U17 VS Egypt U17
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia U17

(Home)
23 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Mozambique U17
19 May
Tunisia U17
0 : 1
Ethiopia U17
16 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Morocco U17
13 May
Egypt U17
0 : 0
Ethiopia U17
02 Oct
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Mali U17
Page 1 of 4

Egypt U17

(Away)
01 Jun
Morocco U17
0 : 2
Egypt U17
28 May
Egypt U17
0 : 1
Tanzania U17
24 May
Ivory Coast U17
1 : 4
Egypt U17
19 May
Morocco U17
2 : 1
Egypt U17
16 May
Tunisia U17
1 : 2
Egypt U17
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ghana U17 -
Liberia U17 -
TBD -
Burkina Faso U17 -
Benin U17 -
Sierra Leone U17 -
TBD -
Ivory Coast U17 -
Niger U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigeria U17 -
Algeria U17 4
Libya U17 4
TBD -
Gabon U17 -
Mali U17 -
TBD -
D.R. Congo U17 -
Chad U17 -
Egypt U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia U17 -
Senegal U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U17 -
Morocco U17 2
Mauritania U17 1
TBD -
Guinea U17 -
Sudan U17 16
Djibouti U17 0
TBD -
Zambia U17 -
Kenya U17 -
Malawi U17 -
TBD -
Cameroon U17 -
Tanzania U17 9
Seychelles U17 0
TBD -
South Africa U17 -
Namibia U17 2
Botswana U17 2
TBD -
Congo U17 -
Angola U17 -
TBD -
Lesotho U17 -
Mauritius U17 -
Mozambique U17 -
TBD -
Zimbabwe U17 -
Comoros U17 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Ghana U17 6
Burkina Faso U17 5
Benin U17 2
Ivory Coast U17 4
Niger U17 3
Nigeria U17 2
Algeria U17 0
Gabon U17 1
Mali U17 12
Chad U17 0
Egypt U17 2
Ethiopia U17 5
Senegal U17 6
Tunisia U17 4
Morocco U17 2
Guinea U17 3
Sudan U17 1
Zambia U17 0
Kenya U17 1
Cameroon U17 9
Tanzania U17 3
South Africa U17 1
Namibia U17 1
Congo U17 5
Angola U17 4
Mauritius U17 0
Mozambique U17 1
Comoros U17 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Ghana U17 3
Ivory Coast U17 1
Niger U17 4
Gabon U17 3
Mali U17 4
Ethiopia U17 1
Senegal U17 1
Guinea U17 2
Sudan U17 5
Cameroon U17 7
Tanzania U17 3
Congo U17 3
Angola U17 7
Comoros U17 0
TBD -
TBD -