Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ethiopia U17 vs Morocco U17

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U17 Mohammed VI Football Academy (pitch 8), Salé
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Kassaw D.
Assist: Eylachew B.
31'
Tahri A.
46'
Tahri A.
Out: Tahri A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ethiopia U17
15%
Draws
59%
Morocco U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Morocco U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Morocco U17 lately — more wins on the board than Ethiopia U17.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Morocco U17 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Morocco U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ethiopia U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Morocco U17 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia U17 Morocco U17
Matches Played 16 36
Wins 6 20
Draws 3 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U17
Ethiopia U17 vs Morocco U17
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ethiopia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kassaw D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Morocco U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Moustache M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Talai I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia U17 30 / 100
Morocco U17 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia U17 Morocco U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Morocco U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethiopia U17 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (16 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Morocco U17 conceded in 58% of 36 recent games.

Solid form: Ethiopia U17 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia U17 VS Morocco U17
0.75 Goals Scored 3
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia U17

(Home)
23 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Mozambique U17
19 May
Tunisia U17
0 : 1
Ethiopia U17
16 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Morocco U17
13 May
Egypt U17
0 : 0
Ethiopia U17
02 Oct
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Mali U17
Page 1 of 4

Morocco U17

(Away)
01 Jun
Morocco U17
0 : 2
Egypt U17
28 May
Morocco U17
1 : 2
Senegal U17
24 May
Morocco U17
1 : 0
Cameroon U17
19 May
Morocco U17
2 : 1
Egypt U17
16 May
Ethiopia U17
1 : 2
Morocco U17
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U17 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Egypt U17 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Ethiopia U17 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Tunisia U17 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U17 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Cameroon U17 3 2 0 1 2:2 6
3 Uganda U17 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 D.R. Congo U17 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania U17 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
2 Mali U17 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Mozambique U17 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
4 Angola U17 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U17 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 Algeria U17 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Ghana U17 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 South Africa U17 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U17 (World Cup - Promotion)