Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ethiopia U20 vs Somalia U20

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2017
Ethiopia U20 Logo

Ethiopia U20

2 - 1
FT
Somalia U20 Logo

Somalia U20

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
77' Event
79' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Ethiopia U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ethiopia U20
15%
Draws
0%
Somalia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethiopia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ethiopia U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ethiopia U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Ethiopia U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ethiopia U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ethiopia U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Somalia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia U20 Somalia U20
Matches Played 26 8
Wins 8 0
Draws 2 0
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.12 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.85 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.20 1.07
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Somalia U20 vs Ethiopia U20
0:2
Apr 3, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Ethiopia U20 vs Somalia U20
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia U20 85 / 100
Somalia U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia U20 Somalia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethiopia U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somalia U20 let in goals in 100% of their last 8 matches.

Difficult form: Somalia U20 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ethiopia U20 found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (26 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia U20 VS Somalia U20
1 Goals Scored 0.4
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.4
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 60%
38% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Ethiopia U20
0 : 4
Tanzania U20
17 Sept
Rwanda U20
0 : 0
Ethiopia U20
11 Oct
Burundi U20
3 : 2
Ethiopia U20
09 Oct
South Sudan U20
2 : 1
Ethiopia U20
07 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 0
Ethiopia U20
Page 1 of 6

Somalia U20

(Away)
27 Jul
Somalia U20
0 : 2
Egypt U20
24 Jul
Oman U20
2 : 0
Somalia U20
26 Nov
Somalia U20
1 : 8
Tanzania U20
24 Nov
Djibouti U20
2 : 1
Somalia U20
25 Sept
South Sudan U20
3 : 0
Somalia U20
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Senegal U20 -
TBD -
Niger U20 1
Tunisia U20 4
Ethiopia U20 4
Somalia U20 1
TBD -
Ghana U20 -
Gambia U20 4
Sierra Leone U20 0
TBD -
Morocco U20 -
Ivory Coast U20 -
TBD -
Liberia U20 1
Guinea U20 3
Cameroon U20 -
TBD -
Botswana U20 1
Zimbabwe U20 2
Benin U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Libya U20 -
Burkina Faso U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
Congo U20 -
Mauritania U20 3
Algeria U20 2
TBD -
Mali U20 -
Sudan U20 1
Kenya U20 1
TBD -
Malawi U20 -
Burundi U20 -
D.R. Congo U20 -
TBD -
Nigeria U20 -
Lesotho U20 -
TBD -
Mauritius U20 2
Mozambique U20 2
Namibia U20 4
Eswatini U20 2
TBD -
South Africa U20 -
Egypt U20 -
TBD -
Uganda U20 3
Rwanda U20 2
Gabon U20 -
TBD -
Chad U20 -
Angola U20 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
Senegal U20 4
Tunisia U20 1
Ethiopia U20 2
Ghana U20 5
Gambia U20 2
Morocco U20 1
Ivory Coast U20 2
Guinea U20 2
Cameroon U20 3
Zimbabwe U20 0
Benin U20 -
Libya U20 -
Burkina Faso U20 3
Congo U20 3
Mauritania U20 1
Mali U20 7
Sudan U20 -
Malawi U20 -
Burundi U20 1
Nigeria U20 3
Lesotho U20 2
Mozambique U20 1
Namibia U20 0
South Africa U20 2
Egypt U20 2
Rwanda U20 1
Gabon U20 1
Angola U20 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 1
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Senegal U20 3
Ghana U20 2
Gambia U20 1
Guinea U20 2
Cameroon U20 3
Libya U20 4
Burkina Faso U20 0
Mali U20 2
Sudan U20 5
Nigeria U20 5
Lesotho U20 0
South Africa U20 5
Egypt U20 5
Angola U20 0
TBD -
TBD -