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Ethiopia U20 vs Sudan U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship U20 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Sudan U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Ethiopia U20
15%
Draws
76%
Sudan U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sudan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Sudan U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sudan U20 a 76% chance of winning this.
  • Sudan U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sudan U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ethiopia U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Sudan U20 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia U20 Sudan U20
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 8 10
Draws 2 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.12 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2022 CECAFA Championship U20
Ethiopia U20 vs Sudan U20
1:2
Nov 25, 2020 CECAFA Championship U20
Sudan U20 vs Ethiopia U20
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia U20 11 / 100
Sudan U20 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia U20 Sudan U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sudan U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sudan U20 let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Ethiopia U20 scored in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Ethiopia U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia U20 VS Sudan U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Ethiopia U20
0 : 4
Tanzania U20
17 Sept
Rwanda U20
0 : 0
Ethiopia U20
11 Oct
Burundi U20
3 : 2
Ethiopia U20
09 Oct
South Sudan U20
2 : 1
Ethiopia U20
07 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 0
Ethiopia U20
Page 1 of 6

Sudan U20

(Away)
24 Sept
Tanzania U20
1 : 2
Sudan U20
22 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 3
Sudan U20
19 Sept
Sudan U20
0 : 1
Uganda U20
17 Sept
Djibouti U20
0 : 3
Sudan U20
15 Oct
Sudan U20
0 : 4
Kenya U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Ethiopia U20 2
South Sudan U20 3
Sudan U20 0
Uganda U20 2
Final
South Sudan U20 1
Uganda U20 2
Ethiopia U20 1
Sudan U20 2