Sport Picks

Ethiopia vs Djibouti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World

World Championship 2026 Ben M'Hamed El Abdi Stadium, El Jadida

Ethiopia

6 - 1

Djibouti

Our Tip

Match Events

19'

Desta B.

34'

Nasir A.

Assist: Desta B.

37'

Nasir A.

Assist: Worku A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ethiopia in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ethiopia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

Ethiopia

15%

Draws

26%

Djibouti

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethiopia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Ethiopia lately — more wins on the board than Djibouti.
Ethiopia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%

Ethiopia Clean Sheet 68%

Djibouti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ethiopia	Djibouti
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	10	5
Draws	5	3
Losses	14	19
Goals Scored	1.07	0.78
Goals Conceded	1.24	2.59
Expected Goals (xG)	2.06	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2025 World Championship

Ethiopia vs Djibouti

6:1

Jun 9, 2024 World Championship

Djibouti vs Ethiopia

1:1

Aug 4, 2019 African Nations Championship

Ethiopia vs Djibouti

4:3

Jul 26, 2019 African Nations Championship

Djibouti vs Ethiopia

0:1

Jul 23, 2017 African Nations Championship

Ethiopia vs Djibouti

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ethiopia Compare

Top Goalscorer Desta B.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Nasir A.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.58

Avg xA / game 1.03

Djibouti Compare

Top Goalscorer Akinbinu S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia 95 / 100

Djibouti 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ethiopia Djibouti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethiopia Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Djibouti let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Solid form: Ethiopia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Djibouti's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia VS Djibouti

1 Goals Scored 0.25

0.75 Goals Conceded 3.13

50% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia

(Home)

29 Sept

Ethiopia

0 : 1

Senegal

25 Sept

Sudan

1 : 0

Ethiopia

09 Jun

Ethiopia

1 : 1

Malawi

06 Jun

Ethiopia

1 : 0

Malawi

31 Mar

Ethiopia

1 : 0

Sao Tome and Principe

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Djibouti

(Away)

29 Mar

South Sudan

0 : 1

Djibouti

26 Mar

Djibouti

0 : 4

South Sudan

26 Nov

Bahrain

1 : 0

Djibouti

17 Nov

Morocco B

7 : 0

Djibouti

15 Nov

Morocco B

6 : 0

Djibouti

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