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Ethiopia W vs Chad W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Olympic Games Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Temesgen M.
24' Event
Kalsa A.
26' Event
Getnet N.

AI Match Summary

Ethiopia W in this Olympic Games Women 2024 tie, finishing 6-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ethiopia W
15%
Draws
42%
Chad W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethiopia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ethiopia W lately — more wins on the board than Chad W.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Ethiopia W taking it.
  • Ethiopia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ethiopia W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Ethiopia W Clean Sheet 10%
Chad W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia W Chad W
Matches Played 29 9
Wins 14 3
Draws 5 1
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 3.38 2.67
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 2.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2023 Olympic Games Women
Chad W vs Ethiopia W
0:4
Jul 13, 2023 Olympic Games Women
Ethiopia W vs Chad W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ethiopia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalsa A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Temesgen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

Chad W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia W 38 / 100
Chad W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia W Chad W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethiopia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Ethiopia W found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Chad W has conceded goals in 71% of their last 7 outings.

Ethiopia W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia W VS Chad W
2.88 Goals Scored 3.83
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.17
100% Over 1.5 33%
63% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia W

(Home)
07 Oct
Rwanda W
0 : 1
Ethiopia W
03 Oct
Ethiopia W
10 : 0
Seychelles W
30 Sept
Ethiopia W
16 : 0
Seychelles W
28 Oct
Ethiopia W
0 : 1
Tanzania W
22 Oct
Tanzania W
2 : 0
Ethiopia W
Page 1 of 6

Chad W

(Away)
01 Nov
Chad W
1 : 0
Tunisia W
29 Oct
Chad W
16 : 0
Libya W
26 Oct
Afghanistan W
1 : 6
Chad W
26 Feb
Senegal W
:
Chad W
21 Feb
Chad W
:
Senegal W
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Guinea Bissau W 4
Benin W 5
Guinea W 0
Ghana W 7
Burkina Faso W 2
Mali W 3
TBD -
Zambia W -
Ivory Coast W -
Sierra Leone W -
TBD -
Tunisia W -
Namibia W 2
Equatorial Guinea W 0
TBD -
Morocco W -
Uganda W 4
Rwanda W 3
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Ethiopia W 10
Chad W 0
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Congo W -
Tanzania W -
TBD -
Botswana W -
Mozambique W -
D.R. Congo W -
TBD -
South Africa W -
Quarter-finals
Benin W 0
Ghana W 5
Mali W -
Zambia W -
Ivory Coast W -
Tunisia W -
Namibia W 0
Morocco W 4
Uganda W 2
Cameroon W 3
Ethiopia W 1
Nigeria W 5
Tanzania W 3
Botswana W 0
D.R. Congo W 1
South Africa W 3
Semi-finals
Ghana W 3
Zambia W 4
Tunisia W 2
Morocco W 6
Cameroon W 0
Nigeria W 1
Tanzania W 0
South Africa W 4
Final
Zambia W 3
Morocco W 2
Nigeria W 1
South Africa W 0