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Ethiopia W vs Libya W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2018
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Match Events

13' Event
27' Event
45' Event

AI Match Summary

Ethiopia W in this Africa Cup of Nations Women 2018 tie, finishing 7-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ethiopia W
15%
Draws
0%
Libya W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethiopia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ethiopia W have won more games recently than Libya W.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Ethiopia W taking it.
  • Ethiopia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ethiopia W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58.2%
Ethiopia W Clean Sheet 20%
Libya W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopia W Libya W
Matches Played 31 9
Wins 16 0
Draws 5 0
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 3.65 0
Goals Conceded 0.77 7.33
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Ethiopia W vs Libya W
7:0
Apr 4, 2018 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Libya W vs Ethiopia W
0:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopia W 85 / 100
Libya W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopia W Libya W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethiopia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Libya W let in goals in 100% of their last 7 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.50 goals per match.

Libya W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Ethiopia W's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia W VS Libya W
2.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 6.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethiopia W

(Home)
07 Oct
Rwanda W
0 : 1
Ethiopia W
03 Oct
Ethiopia W
10 : 0
Seychelles W
30 Sept
Ethiopia W
16 : 0
Seychelles W
28 Oct
Ethiopia W
0 : 1
Tanzania W
22 Oct
Tanzania W
2 : 0
Ethiopia W
Page 1 of 7

Libya W

(Away)
01 Nov
Libya W
0 : 7
Afghanistan W
29 Oct
Chad W
16 : 0
Libya W
26 Oct
Tunisia W
16 : 0
Libya W
26 Sept
Libya W
:
Equatorial Guinea W
18 Sept
Equatorial Guinea W
:
Libya W
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Algeria W 3
Senegal W 2
Libya W 0
Ethiopia W 15
Ivory Coast W 1
Morocco W 1
Sierra Leone W -
Mali W -
Gambia W 4
Burkina Faso W 3
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Congo W 3
Central Africa W 1
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Kenya W 1
Uganda W 0
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea W -
Lesotho W 3
Eswatini W 1
TBD -
South Africa W -
Zambia W 4
Tanzania W 4
Namibia W 0
Zimbabwe W 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Algeria W 6
Ethiopia W 3
Ivory Coast W 2
Mali W 2
Gambia W 0
Nigeria W 7
Congo W 0
Cameroon W 10
Kenya W 2
Equatorial Guinea W 3
Lesotho W 0
South Africa W 7
Zambia W 2
Zimbabwe W 2
TBD -
TBD -