Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Awlachew D.
71' Event
Mohamed A.
Own Goal
83' Event
Yesouf R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Ethiopian Insurance in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ethiopian Insurance.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ethiopian Insurance
44%
Draws
20%
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Ethiopian Insurance haven't matched Ethiopia Nigd Bank's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Ethiopian Insurance Clean Sheet 24%
Ethiopia Nigd Bank Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 13 9
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2:1
Dec 31, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Insurance
2:1
Mar 11, 2025 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2:1
Nov 28, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Insurance
1:1
Jul 6, 2024 Premier League
Ethiopian Insurance vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ethiopian Insurance Compare

Top Goalscorer Awlachew D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ethiopia Nigd Bank Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethiopian Insurance 37 / 100
Ethiopia Nigd Bank 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopia Nigd Bank

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethiopian Insurance scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Ethiopia Nigd Bank's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Ethiopian Insurance has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ethiopian Insurance VS Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635