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Ethnikos Giannitsa vs Makedonikos Neapolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2020/2021
Sun, Feb 28, 2021
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ethnikos Giannitsa host Makedonikos Neapolis in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2020/2021. This one's hard to separate. Makedonikos Neapolis have shipped 1.97 goals a game lately, while Ethnikos Giannitsa have conceded 1.87 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Makedonikos Neapolis slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 28, 2021, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.60 vs 0.80, favoring Makedonikos Neapolis. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ethnikos Giannitsa
15%
Draws
51%
Makedonikos Neapolis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Makedonikos Neapolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Makedonikos Neapolis lately — more wins on the board than Ethnikos Giannitsa.
  • Win probability leans Ethnikos Giannitsa's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ethnikos Giannitsa Clean Sheet 20%
Makedonikos Neapolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethnikos Giannitsa Makedonikos Neapolis
Matches Played 15 30
Wins 3 5
Draws 2 5
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.13 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Makedonikos Neapolis vs Ethnikos Giannitsa
2:0
Feb 28, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Giannitsa vs Makedonikos Neapolis
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethnikos Giannitsa 67 / 100
Makedonikos Neapolis 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethnikos Giannitsa Makedonikos Neapolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethnikos Giannitsa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Makedonikos Neapolis let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ethnikos Giannitsa scored in 67% of their last 15 outings.

Away concern: Makedonikos Neapolis has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Makedonikos Neapolis
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethnikos Giannitsa

(Home)
05 Jun
A. Asteras
3 : 2
Ethnikos Giannitsa
30 May
Ethnikos Giannitsa
1 : 1
Niki Agkathia
26 May
PAOK Alexandreia
3 : 2
Ethnikos Giannitsa
16 May
Nea Kallikrateia
4 : 3
Ethnikos Giannitsa
12 May
Ethnikos Giannitsa
1 : 0
Aetos Varvaras
Page 1 of 3

Makedonikos Neapolis

(Away)
03 Oct
Kilkisiakos
0 : 2
Makedonikos Neapolis
26 Sept
Makedonikos Neapolis
0 : 2
Akrites Sykeon
26 Apr
PAOK B
3 : 1
Makedonikos Neapolis
22 Apr
Kavala
5 : 1
Makedonikos Neapolis
18 Apr
Makedonikos Neapolis
4 : 3
Kampaniakos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poseidonas Michanionas 14 12 2 0 27:6 38
2 Keravnos Anchelochori 14 8 2 4 23:15 26
3 Thermaikos FC 14 8 1 5 24:18 25
4 A. Asteras 14 8 1 5 23:21 25
5 Makedonikos Neapolis 14 6 6 2 27:10 24
6 Anagennisi Plagia 14 6 4 4 20:12 22
7 AS Giannitsa 14 7 1 6 23:15 22
8 M. Alexandros Trikala 14 6 3 5 20:18 21
9 Edessaikos 14 6 3 5 16:19 21
10 Niki Agkathia 14 6 2 6 15:16 20
11 Nea Kallikrateia 14 4 3 7 15:20 15
12 Aetos Varvaras 14 4 2 8 21:27 14
13 Ethnikos Giannitsa 14 3 2 9 17:26 11
14 PAO Koufalion 14 1 5 8 8:22 8
15 PAOK Alexandreia 14 1 1 12 11:45 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion - Play Offs)