Sport Picks
Ethnikos Latsion vs AEL Limassol
Cyprus
Cyprus Cup 2025/2026 
Match Events
71'
71'
Slupski E.
86'
86'
Fernandes da Conceicao S. E.
(Penalty)
113'
113'
Milosavljevic I.
AI Match Summary
AEL Limassol in this Cyprus Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AEL Limassol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to AEL Limassol lately — more wins on the board than Ethnikos Latsion.
- Win probability leans Ethnikos Latsion's way, sitting at 42%.
- AEL Limassol arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor AEL Limassol, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ethnikos Latsion Clean Sheet 18%
AEL Limassol Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ethnikos Latsion | AEL Limassol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 1, 2025 Cyprus Cup
Ethnikos Latsion vs AEL Limassol
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ethnikos Latsion Compare
Top Goalscorer Slupski E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
AEL Limassol Compare
Top Goalscorer Milosavljevic I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ethnikos Latsion 41 / 100
AEL Limassol 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ethnikos Latsion AEL Limassol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ethnikos Latsion scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
AEL Limassol let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Ethnikos Latsion stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ethnikos Latsion VS AEL Limassol
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.5
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ethnikos Latsion
(Home) 25 Apr
Apea Akrotiriou
2 : 1 Ethnikos Latsion
21 Apr
Ethnikos Latsion
2 : 1 Digenis Akritas
04 Apr
AEZ Zakakiou
1 : 0 Ethnikos Latsion
21 Mar
Ethnikos Latsion
3 : 1 Achyronas-Onisilos
18 Mar
Ethnikos Latsion
0 : 0 Iraklis Yerolakkou
Page 1 of 6
21 Apr
Ethnikos Latsion
2 : 1 Digenis Akritas
21 Mar
Ethnikos Latsion
3 : 1 Achyronas-Onisilos
18 Mar
Ethnikos Latsion
0 : 0 Iraklis Yerolakkou
07 Mar
Ethnikos Latsion
3 : 1 Halkanoras
28 Feb
Ethnikos Latsion
0 : 1 Apea Akrotiriou
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AEL Limassol
(Away) 18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2 AEL Limassol
11 Sept
AEL Limassol
2 : 1 Nea Salamis
06 Sept
APOEL
6 : 0 AEL Limassol
30 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 0 Anorthosis
22 Aug
AEL Limassol
2 : 2 Aris Limassol
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Pafos
0 : 2 AEL Limassol
06 Sept
APOEL
6 : 0 AEL Limassol
19 Aug
Krasava
0 : 4 AEL Limassol
09 Aug
Radomiak Radom
1 : 1 AEL Limassol
03 Aug
Legia
1 : 1 AEL Limassol
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
M.E.A.P. Nisou 1
Apollon Limassol 5
Karmiotissa 1
Anorthosis 3
ASIL Lysi 0
Ol. Nicosia 2
Omonia Aradippou 4
Ayia Napa 0
APOEL 5
AEZ Zakakiou 0
Achyronas-Onisilos 0
Apea Akrotiriou 2
Kitiou 0
Achnas 4
Paralimni 2
Halkanoras 0
Omonia -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK Larnaca -
Aris Limassol 2
Omonia 29th May 1
Ethnikos Latsion 1
AEL Limassol 2
Krasava 1
Nea Salamis 2
TBD -
Digenis Akritas -
Pafos -
TBD -
Akritas Chloraka 5
Doxa 2
1/8-finals
Apollon Limassol 2
Anorthosis 0
Ol. Nicosia 3
Omonia Aradippou 4
APOEL 1
Apea Akrotiriou 0
Achnas 1
Paralimni 2
Omonia 2
AEK Larnaca 1
Aris Limassol 0
AEL Limassol 1
Nea Salamis 2
Digenis Akritas 3
Pafos 2
Akritas Chloraka 1
Quarter-finals
Apollon Limassol 3
Omonia Aradippou 2
APOEL 3
Paralimni 2
Omonia 1
AEL Limassol 2
Digenis Akritas 0
Pafos 3
Semi-finals
Apollon Limassol 4
APOEL 2
AEL Limassol 2
Pafos 5
Final
Apollon Limassol 0
Pafos 2
