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Ethnikos Neou vs Agias - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ethnikos Neou in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ethnikos Neou.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ethnikos Neou
15%
Draws
0%
Agias
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ethnikos Neou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ethnikos Neou have won more games recently than Agias.
  • Model gives Ethnikos Neou a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Ethnikos Neou Clean Sheet 20%
Agias Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethnikos Neou Agias
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 24 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 2.13 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Agias vs Ethnikos Neou
3:4
Feb 8, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Neou vs Agias
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethnikos Neou 85 / 100
Agias 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethnikos Neou Agias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethnikos Neou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethnikos Neou scored in 87% of their last 38 games.

Agias has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Away concern: Agias has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ethnikos Neou VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethnikos Neou

(Home)
04 Oct
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 0
Feraios
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
14 May
Ethnikos Neou
3 : 2
Panthrakikos
10 May
Apollon Kalamaria
3 : 2
Ethnikos Neou
Page 1 of 8

Agias

(Away)
30 Apr
Agias
3 : 4
Ethnikos Neou
23 Apr
Svoronos FC
5 : 2
Agias
12 Apr
Agias
0 : 6
AEP Kozanis
08 Apr
PAOK Kristonis
3 : 0
Agias
02 Apr
Agias
0 : 1
O. Volos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kozani FC 26 16 9 1 53:16 57
2 Ethnikos Neou 26 11 9 6 35:25 42
3 Keravnos Anchelochori 26 12 6 8 47:25 42
4 Chaniotis 26 11 8 7 40:34 41
5 Pierikos 26 11 6 9 34:27 39
6 Svoronos FC 26 10 9 7 31:29 39
7 PAOK Kristonis 26 10 7 9 26:36 37
8 Kastoria 26 9 9 8 23:23 36
9 AEP Kozanis 26 10 5 11 40:39 35
10 Elassona 26 5 14 7 19:23 29
11 Edessaikos 26 7 7 12 25:35 28
12 Makedonikos Foufas 26 7 6 13 22:36 27
13 O. Volos 26 6 7 13 16:26 25
14 Agias 26 5 2 19 14:51 17
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)