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Ethnikos Neou vs Elassona

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs game between Ethnikos Neou and Elassona finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elassona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ethnikos Neou
15%
Draws
46%
Elassona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elassona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ethnikos Neou come out ahead of Elassona on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ethnikos Neou Clean Sheet 19%
Elassona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethnikos Neou Elassona
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 14
Draws 4 9
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.24 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.34 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Elassona vs Ethnikos Neou
3:0
May 17, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs
Elassona vs Ethnikos Neou
2:3
May 3, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs
Ethnikos Neou vs Elassona
1:2
Apr 12, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Ethnikos Neou vs Elassona
2:1
Jan 29, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Elassona vs Ethnikos Neou
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethnikos Neou 32 / 100
Elassona 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethnikos Neou Elassona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethnikos Neou's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Elassona has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Ethnikos Neou went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ethnikos Neou VS Elassona
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethnikos Neou

(Home)
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
14 May
Ethnikos Neou
3 : 2
Panthrakikos
10 May
Apollon Kalamaria
3 : 2
Ethnikos Neou
03 May
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 2
Elassona
Page 1 of 6

Elassona

(Away)
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
13 May
Elassona
0 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
10 May
Panthrakikos
5 : 1
Elassona
03 May
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 2
Elassona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)