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Ethnikos Piraeus vs Fostiras - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 game between Ethnikos Piraeus and Fostiras finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ethnikos Piraeus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ethnikos Piraeus
20%
Draws
29%
Fostiras
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ethnikos Piraeus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ethnikos Piraeus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ethnikos Piraeus Clean Sheet 20%
Fostiras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ethnikos Piraeus Fostiras
Matches Played 45 30
Wins 24 6
Draws 17 12
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.47 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.64 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ethnikos Piraeus vs Fostiras
2:1
Nov 26, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Fostiras vs Ethnikos Piraeus
1:1
Apr 8, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Fostiras vs Ethnikos Piraeus
0:0
Jan 22, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
Ethnikos Piraeus vs Fostiras
0:0
Jan 31, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 6
Ethnikos Piraeus vs Fostiras
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ethnikos Piraeus 31 / 100
Fostiras 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ethnikos Piraeus Fostiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethnikos Piraeus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ethnikos Piraeus scored in 76% of their last 45 games.

Fostiras let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Ethnikos Piraeus remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Fostiras has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ethnikos Piraeus VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ethnikos Piraeus

(Home)
04 Oct
Ethnikos Piraeus
1 : 1
Amfiali
27 Sept
PAO Rouf
0 : 1
Ethnikos Piraeus
17 May
Zakynthos
2 : 1
Ethnikos Piraeus
13 May
Ethnikos Piraeus
2 : 0
Pyrgos
10 May
Aris Petroupolis
1 : 0
Ethnikos Piraeus
Page 1 of 9

Fostiras

(Away)
28 Apr
AO Proodeftiki
2 : 0
Fostiras
24 Apr
Fostiras
1 : 3
Peramaikos
20 Apr
Almyros Gaziou
1 : 0
Fostiras
14 Apr
Episkopi
2 : 2
Fostiras
07 Apr
Fostiras
6 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panionios 34 26 6 2 81:22 84
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 34 20 12 2 61:19 72
3 Almyros Gaziou 34 17 12 5 59:28 63
4 Aris Petroupolis 34 18 6 10 47:38 60
5 AO Ilisiakos 34 16 9 9 43:29 57
6 Ipato 34 14 9 11 45:34 51
7 Atsalenios FC 34 14 8 12 41:33 50
8 Agios Nikolaos 34 14 10 10 55:38 49
9 Chaidari 34 13 10 11 39:29 49
10 Ellopiakos 34 13 9 12 45:43 48
11 AO Proodeftiki 34 14 6 14 47:38 48
12 Apollon Smyrnis 34 10 12 12 39:37 42
13 Ermis Zonianon 34 9 10 15 36:54 37
14 Episkopi 34 9 10 15 40:54 37
15 Peramaikos 34 9 3 22 32:58 30
16 Fostiras 34 6 13 15 29:40 28
17 Paraskevi 34 5 5 24 26:82 17
18 Atromitos Piraeus 34 3 2 29 16:105 11
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)