Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Etimesgut vs Bucaspor 1928 Prediction & H2H Stats

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Tutcuoglu G.
Assist: Erkip H.
90' Event
Tutcuoglu G.
Assist: Sahinturk S.

AI Match Summary

Etimesgut in this 3. Lig Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Etimesgut.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Etimesgut
15%
Draws
17%
Bucaspor 1928
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etimesgut

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Etimesgut lately — more wins on the board than Bucaspor 1928.
  • Model gives Etimesgut a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Etimesgut here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Etimesgut Clean Sheet 20%
Bucaspor 1928 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etimesgut Bucaspor 1928
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 3
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 1.25 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.79 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Etimesgut vs Bucaspor 1928
2:0
Jan 22, 2023 2. Lig Red Group
Etimesgut vs Bucaspor 1928
1:0
Sep 4, 2022 2. Lig Red Group
Bucaspor 1928 vs Etimesgut
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etimesgut Compare

Top Goalscorer Tutcuoglu G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Bucaspor 1928 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etimesgut 85 / 100
Bucaspor 1928 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etimesgut Bucaspor 1928

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etimesgut Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bucaspor 1928 has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Etimesgut's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Etimesgut stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Etimesgut VS Bucaspor 1928
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Etimesgut

(Home)
03 Oct
Etimesgut
1 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
26 Sept
Alanya 1221
0 : 3
Etimesgut
20 Sept
Etimesgut
2 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Etimesgut
06 Sept
Etimesgut
1 : 0
Karsiyaka
Page 1 of 6

Bucaspor 1928

(Away)
03 Oct
Bursa Yildirimspor
1 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
27 Sept
Bucaspor 1928
1 : 2
Altay
20 Sept
Etimesgut
2 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
16 Sept
Bucaspor 1928
0 : 4
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
12 Sept
Bucaspor 1928
2 : 1
Aksehirspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gemlikspor 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Etimesgut 5 4 0 1 7:1 12
3 Eskisehir Anadolu 5 3 2 0 10:3 11
4 Bursa Yildirimspor 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
5 Eskisehirspor 5 3 1 1 16:6 10
6 Ayvalikgucu 5 3 1 1 10:6 10
7 Balikesirspor 5 3 0 2 14:12 9
8 Bigaspor 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
9 Soke 1970 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
10 Altay 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
11 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
12 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
13 Karsiyaka 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 Bucaspor 1928 5 1 0 4 4:10 3
15 Aksehirspor 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
16 Kepez Bld. 5 0 2 3 2:8 2
17 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 5 0 2 3 1:10 2
18 Alanya 1221 5 0 1 4 1:13 1
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)