Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Etimesgut vs Karsiyaka

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Tutcuoglu G.
Assist: Yesil M.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 2 game between Etimesgut and Karsiyaka finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Etimesgut.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Etimesgut
20%
Draws
15%
Karsiyaka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etimesgut

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Karsiyaka's 1.89 goals per match outpaces what Etimesgut have produced (1.24).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Etimesgut have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Etimesgut Clean Sheet 19%
Karsiyaka Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etimesgut Karsiyaka
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.24 1.89
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 3. Lig Group 2
Etimesgut vs Karsiyaka
1:0
Apr 14, 2017 2. Lig Red Group
Etimesgut vs Karsiyaka
4:1
Dec 4, 2016 2. Lig Red Group
Karsiyaka vs Etimesgut
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etimesgut Compare

Top Goalscorer Tutcuoglu G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Karsiyaka Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etimesgut 36 / 100
Karsiyaka 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etimesgut Karsiyaka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karsiyaka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etimesgut scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Etimesgut went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Karsiyaka has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Etimesgut VS Karsiyaka
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Etimesgut

(Home)
26 Sept
Alanya 1221
0 : 3
Etimesgut
20 Sept
Etimesgut
2 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Etimesgut
06 Sept
Etimesgut
1 : 0
Karsiyaka
27 Apr
Kucukcekmece
2 : 0
Etimesgut
Page 1 of 6

Karsiyaka

(Away)
26 Sept
Karsiyaka
0 : 1
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
19 Sept
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2
Karsiyaka
12 Sept
Karsiyaka
1 : 1
Altay
06 Sept
Etimesgut
1 : 0
Karsiyaka
28 Apr
Karsiyaka
0 : 2
Ayvalikgucu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gemlikspor 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
2 Etimesgut 4 3 0 1 6:1 9
3 Ayvalikgucu 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
4 Balikesirspor 4 3 0 1 12:9 9
5 Eskisehir Anadolu 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
6 Bursa Yildirimspor 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
7 Eskisehirspor 4 2 1 1 13:6 7
8 Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
9 Bigaspor 4 1 2 1 7:5 5
10 Soke 1970 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
11 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
12 Altay 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
13 Bucaspor 1928 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
14 Aksehirspor 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
15 Karsiyaka 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
16 Kepez Bld. 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
17 Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 4 0 2 2 1:8 2
18 Alanya 1221 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 (Play Offs)