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Stadium Background

Etimesgut vs Kucukcekmece - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Bozan O.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Mevlutoglu H.
Assist: Etoz M.

AI Match Summary

Etimesgut in this 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Etimesgut.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Etimesgut
20%
Draws
32%
Kucukcekmece
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etimesgut

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Kucukcekmece average 1.79 goals a game right now, well clear of Etimesgut's 1.38.
  • Etimesgut are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Etimesgut Clean Sheet 68%
Kucukcekmece Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etimesgut Kucukcekmece
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Kucukcekmece vs Etimesgut
2:0
Apr 23, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Etimesgut vs Kucukcekmece
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Kucukcekmece vs Etimesgut
3:1
Dec 17, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Etimesgut vs Kucukcekmece
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etimesgut Compare

Top Goalscorer Mevlutoglu H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Kucukcekmece Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etimesgut 77 / 100
Kucukcekmece 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etimesgut Kucukcekmece

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etimesgut Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etimesgut scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Kucukcekmece has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Etimesgut went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Etimesgut VS Kucukcekmece
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Etimesgut

(Home)
07 Oct
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
1 : 5
Etimesgut
03 Oct
Etimesgut
1 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
26 Sept
Alanya 1221
0 : 3
Etimesgut
20 Sept
Etimesgut
2 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Etimesgut
Page 1 of 6

Kucukcekmece

(Away)
07 Oct
Kucukcekmece
5 : 1
Buyukcekmece Gucu
03 Oct
Pazarspor
3 : 1
Kucukcekmece
26 Sept
Kucukcekmece
1 : 1
Zonguldak Komurspor
20 Sept
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
0 : 2
Kucukcekmece
12 Sept
Kucukcekmece
1 : 1
Galata Spor Kulubu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inegol Kafkas 30 18 8 4 49:26 62
2 Corluspor 30 18 7 5 57:23 61
3 Kucukcekmece 30 17 5 8 54:30 56
4 Etimesgut 30 14 10 6 36:23 52
5 Bursa Yildirimspor 30 13 10 7 38:31 49
6 Silivrispor 30 12 7 11 42:36 43
7 Buyukcekmece Gucu 30 9 13 8 34:35 40
8 Gemlikspor 30 10 8 12 33:42 38
9 Yesil Yalova FK 30 9 10 11 38:36 37
10 Galata Spor Kulubu 30 10 7 13 34:34 37
11 Bulvarspor 30 9 8 13 35:47 35
12 Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 30 7 14 9 23:36 35
13 Cankaya FK 30 8 10 12 38:37 34
14 Kestel Cilekspor 30 8 6 16 27:39 30
15 1926 Polatli Belediye 30 7 7 16 24:44 28
16 Edirnespor Genclik 30 3 6 21 22:65 15
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)