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Stadium Background

Etimesgut vs Yalovaspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Tinmaz M.
69' Event
Polat F.
76' Event
Akbulut A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Etimesgut advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Etimesgut
20%
Draws
32%
Yalovaspor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etimesgut

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Etimesgut come out ahead of Yalovaspor on wins alone.
  • Etimesgut are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Etimesgut have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Etimesgut, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Etimesgut Clean Sheet 68%
Yalovaspor Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etimesgut Yalovaspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.43 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2022 Turkish Cup
Etimesgut vs Yalovaspor
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etimesgut Compare

Top Goalscorer Polat F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akbulut A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Yalovaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Tinmaz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etimesgut 95 / 100
Yalovaspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etimesgut Yalovaspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etimesgut Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etimesgut scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Yalovaspor let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Etimesgut has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Etimesgut VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Etimesgut

(Home)
07 Oct
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
1 : 5
Etimesgut
03 Oct
Etimesgut
1 : 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
26 Sept
Alanya 1221
0 : 3
Etimesgut
20 Sept
Etimesgut
2 : 0
Bucaspor 1928
13 Sept
Gemlikspor
1 : 0
Etimesgut
Page 1 of 6

Yalovaspor

(Away)
28 Sept
Etimesgut
3 : 1
Yalovaspor
13 Sept
Bilecik 1969
1 : 2
Yalovaspor
01 May
Yalovaspor
0 : 0
Cizrespor
21 Apr
23 Elazig FK
1 : 1
Yalovaspor
14 Apr
Yalovaspor
2 : 1
Golcukspor
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Sivasspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corum FK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erokspor -
Giresunspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guzide Gebzespor -
TBD -
TBD -
Amasyaspor -
Ankaraspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Kepez Bld. -
Pazarspor -
TBD -
Mazidagi -
Bitlis Ozguzeldere -
Bandirmaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Karacabey Bld. -
Gaziantep -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sariyer -
TBD -
Tepecik 2
Bayrampasa 0
24Erzincanspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kutahyaspor -
Boluspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fethiyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarsus -
Konyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altinordu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Catalca Spor 4
Edirnespor Genclik 1
TBD -
Sapanca Genclikspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodrumspor -
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Istanbulspor AS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Etimesgut -
TBD -
Bilecik 1969 1
Yalovaspor 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aksaray Bld. -
Adanademirspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Adiyaman FK -
TBD -
Karabuk Idmanyurdu 0
Bartinspor 1
Nazillispor -
TBD -
Sile Yildizspor 2
Darica Genclerbirligi 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arnavutkoy Bl. -
Rizespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bursaspor -
TBD -
1074 Cankirispor 0
Boyabat 4
Kirklarelispor -
TBD -
Siirt Ozel 2
Yuksekova 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
52 Orduspor -
Antalyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pendikspor -
Manisa FK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Afyonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Eynesil -
Vanspor FK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 2
Ergene Velimese 3
23 Elazig FK 1
Elazigspor 0
Kayserispor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Igdir FK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sivas Dort -
Genclerbirligi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nigde Anadolu 3
Kahramanmarasspor 2
Fatsa Bld. 0
Yomraspor 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bayburt Ozel Idare -
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
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Sakaryaspor -
Eyupspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hatayspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Duzcespor -
Galatasaray -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kastamonuspor -
TBD -
Nevsehir 3
Yozgatspor 1
Balikesirspor -
TBD -
Hacettepe 1945 3
Kirikkale FK 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ofspor -
Keciorengucu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) -
TBD -
Serhat Ardahanspor 2
Kars 36 Spor 4
Menemenspor -
TBD -
Bigaspor 1
Akhisarspor 0
Turgutlu 1
Kusadasispor 2
TBD -
Bulvarspor -
F. Karagumruk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirsehir SK -
TBD -
Kilis Bld. 1
Osmaniyespor 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Iskenderunspor -
Yeni Malatyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Inegolspor -
TBD -
12 Bingol Spor 1
Agri 1970 10
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu -
TBD -
TBD -
Arguvan -
Zonguldak Komurspor -
TBD -
Erbaaspor 0
Gumushanespor 1
Basaksehir -
TBD -
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Goztepe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1922 Konyaspor 2
Alanya 1221 0
Karakopru -
Cizre Serhat -
Bucaspor 1928 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hopaspor -
Ankaragucu -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Amedspor -
Tuzlaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bursa Yildirimspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Isparta 32 Spor -
Besiktas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Serik Spor -
TBD -
Kelkit Bld. 3
Dersim Spor 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Batman Petrolspor -
Denizlispor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kocaelispor -
TBD -
TBD -
Ayvalikgucu -
Sanliurfaspor -
TBD -
Izmir Coruhlu 1
Karsiyaka 2
Ankara Demirspor -
TBD -
Karaman FK 2
Burdur Mehmet 0
Kasimpasa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Trabzon FK -
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soma Spor -
TBD -
TBD -
Soke 1970 -
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Samsunspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eskisehirspor 2
Cankaya FK 1
TBD -
Musspor -
Adanaspor AS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orduspor 1967 -
1/128-finals
Sivasspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corum FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Erokspor -
Giresunspor -
TBD -
Guzide Gebzespor 0
Amasyaspor 1
Ankaraspor 5
Kepez Bld. 2
Pazarspor 1
Mazidagi 0
Bandirmaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Karacabey Bld. -
Gaziantep -
TBD -
Sariyer 3
Tepecik 0
24Erzincanspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Kutahyaspor -
Boluspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Fethiyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarsus -
Konyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altinordu -
TBD -
Catalca Spor 2
Sapanca Genclikspor 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodrumspor -
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Istanbulspor AS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Etimesgut 3
Yalovaspor 1
TBD -
Aksaray Bld. -
Adanademirspor -
TBD -
Adiyaman FK 1
Bartinspor 0
Nazillispor 2
Sile Yildizspor 1
TBD -
Arnavutkoy Bl. -
Rizespor -
TBD -
Bursaspor 0
Boyabat 1
Kirklarelispor 5
Siirt Ozel 0
TBD -
52 Orduspor -
Antalyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pendikspor -
Manisa FK -
TBD -
Afyonspor 2
Eynesil 4
Vanspor FK -
TBD -
Ergene Velimese 0
23 Elazig FK 1
Kayserispor -
TBD -
TBD -
Igdir FK -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sivas Dort -
Genclerbirligi -
TBD -
Nigde Anadolu 2
Yomraspor 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bayburt Ozel Idare -
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sakaryaspor -
Eyupspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hatayspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Duzcespor -
Galatasaray -
TBD -
Kastamonuspor 1
Nevsehir 0
Balikesirspor 2
Hacettepe 1945 1
TBD -
Ofspor -
Keciorengucu -
TBD -
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 3
Kars 36 Spor 0
Menemenspor 3
Bigaspor 2
Kusadasispor 0
Bulvarspor 1
F. Karagumruk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kirsehir SK 2
Kilis Bld. 1
TBD -
Iskenderunspor -
Yeni Malatyaspor -
TBD -
Inegolspor 1
Agri 1970 2
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 2
Arguvan 1
Zonguldak Komurspor 0
Gumushanespor 1
Basaksehir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Goztepe -
TBD -
1922 Konyaspor 1
Karakopru 2
Bucaspor 1928 -
TBD -
TBD -
Hopaspor -
Ankaragucu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Amedspor -
Tuzlaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Bursa Yildirimspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Isparta 32 Spor -
Besiktas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Serik Spor 1
Kelkit Bld. 0
TBD -
Batman Petrolspor -
Denizlispor -
TBD -
Kocaelispor 1
Ayvalikgucu 4
Sanliurfaspor 4
Karsiyaka 2
Ankara Demirspor 0
Karaman FK 2
Kasimpasa -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Trabzon FK -
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altay -
TBD -
Soma Spor 2
Soke 1970 3
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Samsunspor -
TBD -
Eskisehirspor 2
Musspor 3
Adanaspor AS -
TBD -
TBD -
Orduspor 1967 -
1/64-finals
Sivasspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK -
TBD -
Corum FK 1
Erokspor 2
Giresunspor 3
Amasyaspor 1
Ankaraspor 2
Pazarspor 1
Bandirmaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Karacabey Bld. -
Gaziantep 4
Sariyer 0
24Erzincanspor 0
Kutahyaspor 1
Boluspor 1
Fethiyespor 0
TBD -
Tarsus -
Konyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altinordu 5
Sapanca Genclikspor 0
TBD -
Bodrumspor -
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Istanbulspor AS -
TBD -
Etimesgut 2
Aksaray Bld. 0
Adanademirspor 5
Adiyaman FK 0
Nazillispor 2
Arnavutkoy Bl. 1
Rizespor 3
Boyabat 0
Kirklarelispor 2
52 Orduspor 0
Antalyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Pendikspor -
Manisa FK 3
Eynesil 2
Vanspor FK 2
23 Elazig FK 3
Kayserispor 2
Igdir FK 1
TBD -
Sivas Dort -
Genclerbirligi 3
Nigde Anadolu 1
TBD -
Bayburt Ozel Idare -
Alanyaspor -
TBD -
TBD -
Sakaryaspor -
Eyupspor -
TBD -
Hatayspor 0
Duzcespor 2
Galatasaray 7
Kastamonuspor 0
Balikesirspor 0
Ofspor 1
Keciorengucu 4
Diyarbekirspor (Est. 1977) 1
Menemenspor 0
Bulvarspor 1
F. Karagumruk -
TBD -
Kirsehir SK 1
Iskenderunspor 0
Yeni Malatyaspor 4
Agri 1970 3
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 4
Gumushanespor 2
Basaksehir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Goztepe 2
Karakopru 0
Bucaspor 1928 3
Hopaspor 0
Ankaragucu -
TBD -
TBD -
Amedspor -
Tuzlaspor 2
Bursa Yildirimspor 1
TBD -
Isparta 32 Spor -
Besiktas -
TBD -
Serik Spor 2
Batman Petrolspor 1
Denizlispor 2
Ayvalikgucu 1
Sanliurfaspor 3
Karaman FK 0
Kasimpasa 2
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 1
TBD -
Trabzon FK -
Umraniyespor -
TBD -
Altay 1
Soke 1970 2
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Samsunspor 3
Musspor 0
Adanaspor AS 1
Orduspor 1967 0
1/32-finals
Sivasspor -
TBD -
Erzurumspor FK 2
Erokspor 3
Giresunspor 3
Ankaraspor 2
Bandirmaspor 0
Karacabey Bld. 3
Gaziantep 2
Kutahyaspor 0
Boluspor 2
Tarsus 1
Konyaspor -
TBD -
Altinordu 0
Bodrumspor 1
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
Istanbulspor AS 3
Etimesgut 2
Adanademirspor 4
Nazillispor 3
Rizespor 2
Kirklarelispor 1
Antalyaspor 3
Pendikspor 0
Manisa FK 3
23 Elazig FK 0
Kayserispor 1
Sivas Dort 0
Genclerbirligi 1
Bayburt Ozel Idare 0
Alanyaspor 3
Sakaryaspor 0
Eyupspor 2
Duzcespor 1
Galatasaray 2
Ofspor 1
Keciorengucu 4
Bulvarspor 2
F. Karagumruk 3
Kirsehir SK 1
Yeni Malatyaspor 0
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 1
Basaksehir -
TBD -
Goztepe 2
Bucaspor 1928 0
Ankaragucu 6
Amedspor 2
Tuzlaspor 2
Isparta 32 Spor 1
Besiktas 3
Serik Spor 1
Denizlispor 0
Sanliurfaspor 5
Kasimpasa 6
Trabzon FK 1
Umraniyespor 4
Soke 1970 0
Trabzonspor -
TBD -
Samsunspor 4
Adanaspor AS 0
1/16-finals
Sivasspor 5
Erokspor 2
Giresunspor 0
Karacabey Bld. 5
Gaziantep 3
Boluspor 1
Konyaspor 3
Bodrumspor 2
Fenerbahce 3
Istanbulspor AS 1
Adanademirspor 3
Rizespor 4
Antalyaspor 1
Manisa FK 0
Kayserispor 2
Genclerbirligi 0
Alanyaspor 3
Eyupspor 2
Galatasaray 1
Keciorengucu 0
F. Karagumruk 3
Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 0
Basaksehir 3
Goztepe 1
Ankaragucu 2
Tuzlaspor 0
Besiktas 4
Sanliurfaspor 2
Kasimpasa 1
Umraniyespor 2
Trabzonspor 3
Samsunspor 0
1/8-finals
Sivasspor 3
Karacabey Bld. 0
Gaziantep 2
Konyaspor 1
Fenerbahce 2
Rizespor 1
Antalyaspor 0
Kayserispor 2
Alanyaspor 1
Galatasaray 2
F. Karagumruk 2
Basaksehir 3
Ankaragucu 2
Besiktas 1
Umraniyespor 1
Trabzonspor 4
Quarter-finals
Sivasspor 3
Gaziantep 0
Fenerbahce 4
Kayserispor 1
Galatasaray 2
Basaksehir 3
Ankaragucu 3
Trabzonspor 1
Semi-finals
Sivasspor 0
Fenerbahce 3
Basaksehir 3
Ankaragucu 2
Final
Fenerbahce 2
Basaksehir 0