Sport Picks

Rwanda

Premier League Umuganda Stadium

Etincelles

2 - 1

Al-Hilal Omdurman

Our Tip

Match Events

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Etincelles in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Etincelles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Etincelles

22%

Draws

60%

Al-Hilal Omdurman

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Al-Hilal Omdurman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Al-Hilal Omdurman has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Etincelles.
Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Al-Hilal Omdurman.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Etincelles Clean Sheet 20%

Al-Hilal Omdurman Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Etincelles	Al-Hilal Omdurman
Matches Played	33	36
Wins	8	22
Draws	12	8
Losses	13	6
Goals Scored	1.25	2
Goals Conceded	1.88	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Premier League

Etincelles vs Al-Hilal Omdurman

Possession: 60% - 43% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Jan 8, 2026 Premier League

Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Etincelles

Possession: 51% - 53% Cards: 4 - 1

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etincelles 20 / 100

Al-Hilal Omdurman 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Etincelles Al-Hilal Omdurman

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AHO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etincelles scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Al-Hilal Omdurman let in goals in 75% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Etincelles went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al-Hilal Omdurman lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Etincelles VS Al-Hilal Omdurman

1.25 Goals Scored 2

1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5

75% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 38%

63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al-Hilal Omdurman	34	23	6	5	74:25	75
2	APR	34	19	11	4	50:28	68
3	Al-Merreikh	34	16	11	7	41:24	59
4	Rayon Sport	34	14	14	6	40:30	56
5	Kiyovu	34	13	14	7	34:21	53
6	Police	34	12	16	6	29:19	52
7	Mukura Victory Sports	34	12	11	11	36:38	47
8	Marines	34	12	9	13	47:43	45
9	Bugesera	34	12	8	14	34:39	44
10	Musanze	34	11	10	13	38:37	43
11	Gorilla	34	10	10	14	31:42	40
12	Gicumbi	34	10	8	16	38:54	38
13	Etincelles	34	7	16	11	32:40	37
14	AS Kigali	34	8	11	15	27:39	35
15	Gasogi United	34	8	11	15	29:44	35
16	Amagaju	34	9	8	17	19:38	35
17	Muhanga	34	8	7	19	25:46	31
18	Rutsiro	34	6	11	17	30:47	29