Sport Picks
Etincelles vs Amagaju - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Rwanda
Premier League 2025/2026 Umuganda Stadium, Gisenyi 
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Etincelles and Amagaju finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Etincelles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Amagaju haven't matched Etincelles's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Etincelles's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Etincelles Clean Sheet 68%
Amagaju Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Etincelles | Amagaju |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Premier League
Etincelles vs Amagaju
0:0
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Amagaju vs Etincelles
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Premier League
Amagaju vs Etincelles
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 Premier League
Etincelles vs Amagaju
2:3
Jan 20, 2024 Premier League
Etincelles vs Amagaju
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Etincelles 95 / 100
Amagaju 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Etincelles Amagaju
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Etincelles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Etincelles remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Etincelles scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Amagaju has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Etincelles VS Amagaju
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
88% Over 2.5 13%
75% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Etincelles
(Home) 15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0 Musanze
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1 Etincelles
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0 Sunrise
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1 Al Hilal Omdurman
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4 Etincelles
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0 Musanze
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0 Sunrise
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1 Al Hilal Omdurman
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6 Gorilla
02 May
Etincelles
0 : 0 Amagaju
Page 1 of 3
Amagaju
(Away) 18 Sept
Amagaju
0 : 0 Al Merreikh
12 Sept
Gicumbi
1 : 0 Amagaju
05 Sept
Amagaju
2 : 0 Etoile de L'Est
30 May
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 0 Amagaju
22 May
Amagaju
0 : 2 Muhanga
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Gicumbi
1 : 0 Amagaju
30 May
Mukura Victory Sports
0 : 0 Amagaju
10 May
Rutsiro
1 : 2 Amagaju
02 May
Etincelles
0 : 0 Amagaju
17 Apr
Musanze
0 : 2 Amagaju
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74:25 | 75 |
| 2 | APR | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 50:28 | 68 |
| 3 | Al Merreikh | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 41:24 | 59 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 40:30 | 56 |
| 5 | Kiyovu | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 34:21 | 53 |
| 6 | Police | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 29:19 | 52 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36:38 | 47 |
| 8 | Marines | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:43 | 45 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34:39 | 44 |
| 10 | Musanze | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 38:37 | 43 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:42 | 40 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:54 | 38 |
| 13 | Etincelles | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 14 | Kigali FC | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 27:39 | 35 |
| 15 | Gasogi United | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29:44 | 35 |
| 16 | Amagaju | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 19:38 | 35 |
| 17 | Muhanga | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 25:46 | 31 |
| 18 | Rutsiro | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 30:47 | 29 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
