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Etincelles vs APR - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Premier League 2025/2026 Umuganda Stadium, Gisenyi
Etincelles Logo

Etincelles

2 - 1
FT
APR Logo

APR

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Etincelles and APR finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Etincelles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Etincelles
15%
Draws
41%
APR
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etincelles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Etincelles haven't matched APR's recent run of results.
  • Etincelles are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 59%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Etincelles Clean Sheet 68%
APR Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etincelles APR
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 9 17
Draws 10 4
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 0.97 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Peace Cup
APR vs Etincelles
3:1
Apr 21, 2026 Peace Cup
Etincelles vs APR
1:3
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Etincelles vs APR
2:1
Dec 2, 2025 Premier League
APR vs Etincelles
2:1
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
APR vs Etincelles
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etincelles 59 / 100
APR 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etincelles APR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etincelles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Etincelles has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Etincelles scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

APR has conceded goals in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

Etincelles VS APR
1.29 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
43% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Etincelles

(Home)
15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0
Musanze
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1
Etincelles
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0
Sunrise
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1
Al Hilal Omdurman
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
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APR

(Away)
16 Sept
APR
4 : 2
Marines
11 Sept
APR
3 : 0
Aigles du Congo
06 Sept
Aigles du Congo
1 : 0
APR
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 Kigali FC 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)