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Etincelles vs APR

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Premier League 2025/2026 Umuganda Stadium, Gisenyi
Etincelles Logo

Etincelles

2 - 1
FT
APR Logo

APR

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Etincelles and APR finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Etincelles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Etincelles
15%
Draws
49%
APR
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: APR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Etincelles haven't matched APR's recent run of results.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Etincelles Clean Sheet 10%
APR Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etincelles APR
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 8 20
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.07 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Peace Cup
APR vs Etincelles
3:1
Apr 21, 2026 Peace Cup
Etincelles vs APR
1:3
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Etincelles vs APR
2:1
Dec 2, 2025 Premier League
APR vs Etincelles
2:1
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
APR vs Etincelles
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etincelles 34 / 100
APR 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etincelles APR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Etincelles scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

APR let in goals in 62% of their last 34 matches.

Etincelles has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Etincelles VS APR
1.5 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Etincelles

(Home)
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
16 May
Marines
2 : 3
Etincelles
13 May
APR
3 : 1
Etincelles
Page 1 of 6

APR

(Away)
30 Jul
APR
2 : 1
Vipers
27 Jul
Garde Republicaine
1 : 3
APR
24 Jul
APR
0 : 5
Mahia
31 May
APR
2 : 0
Gicumbi
27 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 2
APR
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 AS Kigali 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)