Sport Picks
Etincelles vs Gicumbi
Rwanda
Premier League 2025/2026 Umuganda Stadium, Gisenyi 
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Etincelles and Gicumbi finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
15%
41%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etincelles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Gicumbi come out ahead of Etincelles on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Etincelles Clean Sheet 68%
Gicumbi Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Etincelles | Gicumbi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Premier League
Etincelles vs Gicumbi
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League
Gicumbi vs Etincelles
1:1
Apr 30, 2022 Premier League
Gicumbi vs Etincelles
1:3
Dec 22, 2021 Premier League
Etincelles vs Gicumbi
2:0
May 30, 2020 Premier League
Gicumbi vs Etincelles
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Etincelles 41 / 100
Gicumbi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Etincelles Gicumbi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Etincelles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gicumbi has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Etincelles stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Etincelles scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Etincelles VS Gicumbi
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Etincelles
(Home) 15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0 Musanze
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1 Etincelles
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0 Sunrise
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1 Al-Hilal Omdurman
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4 Etincelles
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0 Musanze
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0 Sunrise
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1 Al-Hilal Omdurman
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6 Gorilla
02 May
Etincelles
0 : 0 Amagaju
Page 1 of 4
Gicumbi
(Away) 15 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
1 : 2 Gicumbi
12 Sept
Gicumbi
1 : 0 Amagaju
07 Sept
Police
1 : 2 Gicumbi
31 May
APR
2 : 0 Gicumbi
24 May
Gicumbi
3 : 2 Mukura Victory Sports
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15 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
1 : 2 Gicumbi
07 Sept
Police
1 : 2 Gicumbi
31 May
APR
2 : 0 Gicumbi
15 May
Kigali FC
2 : 1 Gicumbi
05 May
Gasogi United
3 : 1 Gicumbi
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74:25 | 75 |
| 2 | APR | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 50:28 | 68 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 41:24 | 59 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 40:30 | 56 |
| 5 | Kiyovu | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 34:21 | 53 |
| 6 | Police | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 29:19 | 52 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36:38 | 47 |
| 8 | Marines | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:43 | 45 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34:39 | 44 |
| 10 | Musanze | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 38:37 | 43 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:42 | 40 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:54 | 38 |
| 13 | Etincelles | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 14 | Kigali FC | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 27:39 | 35 |
| 15 | Gasogi United | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29:44 | 35 |
| 16 | Amagaju | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 19:38 | 35 |
| 17 | Muhanga | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 25:46 | 31 |
| 18 | Rutsiro | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 30:47 | 29 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
