Sport Picks
Etincelles vs Kiyovu
Rwanda
Premier League 2025/2026 Umuganda Stadium, Gisenyi 
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Etincelles and Kiyovu finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
15%
35%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etincelles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Etincelles haven't matched Kiyovu's recent run of results.
- 50% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Kiyovu here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Etincelles Clean Sheet 68%
Kiyovu Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Etincelles | Kiyovu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 13 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Etincelles vs Kiyovu
0:0
Dec 5, 2025 Premier League
Kiyovu vs Etincelles
4:1
Apr 6, 2025 Premier League
Etincelles vs Kiyovu
0:2
Nov 22, 2024 Premier League
Kiyovu vs Etincelles
2:1
May 3, 2024 Premier League
Etincelles vs Kiyovu
2:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Etincelles 41 / 100
Kiyovu 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Etincelles Kiyovu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Etincelles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Etincelles went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Etincelles's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Kiyovu let in goals in 47% of their last 32 matches.
Scoring Trends
Etincelles VS Kiyovu
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 25%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Etincelles
(Home) 15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0 Musanze
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1 Etincelles
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0 Sunrise
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1 Al-Hilal Omdurman
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4 Etincelles
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0 Musanze
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0 Sunrise
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1 Al-Hilal Omdurman
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6 Gorilla
02 May
Etincelles
0 : 0 Amagaju
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Kiyovu
(Away) 15 Sept
Kiyovu
1 : 0 Bugesera
11 Sept
Musanze
1 : 0 Kiyovu
05 Sept
Kiyovu
0 : 1 Gorilla
30 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0 Police
27 Aug
Kiyovu
1 : 0 Mukura Victory Sports
Page 1 of 7
11 Sept
Musanze
1 : 0 Kiyovu
29 May
Rayon Sport
1 : 1 Kiyovu
24 May
Police
0 : 0 Kiyovu
10 May
Al-Merreikh
0 : 1 Kiyovu
05 May
Amagaju
0 : 1 Kiyovu
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74:25 | 75 |
| 2 | APR | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 50:28 | 68 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 41:24 | 59 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 40:30 | 56 |
| 5 | Kiyovu | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 34:21 | 53 |
| 6 | Police | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 29:19 | 52 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36:38 | 47 |
| 8 | Marines | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:43 | 45 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34:39 | 44 |
| 10 | Musanze | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 38:37 | 43 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:42 | 40 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:54 | 38 |
| 13 | Etincelles | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 14 | Kigali FC | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 27:39 | 35 |
| 15 | Gasogi United | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29:44 | 35 |
| 16 | Amagaju | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 19:38 | 35 |
| 17 | Muhanga | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 25:46 | 31 |
| 18 | Rutsiro | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 30:47 | 29 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
