Sport Picks
Etincelles vs Rayon Sport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Rwanda
Premier League 2025/2026 Umuganda Stadium, Gisenyi 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
35%
12%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Etincelles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Rayon Sport have won more games recently than Etincelles.
- Model gives Etincelles a 53% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Etincelles Clean Sheet 68%
Rayon Sport Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Etincelles | Rayon Sport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 16 |
| Losses | 10 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 0.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.98 | 0.90 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Etincelles vs Rayon Sport
1:1
Dec 27, 2025 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Etincelles
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Etincelles vs Rayon Sport
1:2
Nov 9, 2024 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Etincelles
1:0
Apr 4, 2024 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Etincelles
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Etincelles 95 / 100
Rayon Sport 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Etincelles Rayon Sport
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Etincelles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Etincelles remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Etincelles scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Defensive concern: Rayon Sport conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Etincelles VS Rayon Sport
1.33 Goals Scored 1.63
0.17 Goals Conceded 0.63
33% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Etincelles
(Home) 15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0 Musanze
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1 Etincelles
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0 Sunrise
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1 Al Hilal Omdurman
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4 Etincelles
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0 Musanze
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0 Sunrise
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1 Al Hilal Omdurman
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6 Gorilla
02 May
Etincelles
0 : 0 Amagaju
Page 1 of 3
Rayon Sport
(Away) 09 Oct
Gorilla
1 : 0 Rayon Sport
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1 Sunrise
12 Sept
Rayon Sport
0 : 0 Panthere
04 Sept
Panthere
1 : 1 Rayon Sport
27 Aug
Rayon Sport
0 : 1 Police
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09 Oct
Gorilla
1 : 0 Rayon Sport
04 Sept
Panthere
1 : 1 Rayon Sport
04 Aug
Jamus
1 : 3 Rayon Sport
01 Aug
Al Hilal Omdurman
0 : 1 Rayon Sport
29 Jul
Tusker
0 : 1 Rayon Sport
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal Omdurman | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 74:25 | 75 |
| 2 | APR | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 50:28 | 68 |
| 3 | Al Merreikh | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 41:24 | 59 |
| 4 | Rayon Sport | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 40:30 | 56 |
| 5 | Kiyovu | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 34:21 | 53 |
| 6 | Police | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | 29:19 | 52 |
| 7 | Mukura Victory Sports | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36:38 | 47 |
| 8 | Marines | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:43 | 45 |
| 9 | Bugesera | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34:39 | 44 |
| 10 | Musanze | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 38:37 | 43 |
| 11 | Gorilla | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:42 | 40 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:54 | 38 |
| 13 | Etincelles | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 14 | Kigali FC | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 27:39 | 35 |
| 15 | Gasogi United | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 29:44 | 35 |
| 16 | Amagaju | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 19:38 | 35 |
| 17 | Muhanga | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 25:46 | 31 |
| 18 | Rutsiro | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 30:47 | 29 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
