Sport Picks
Etoile-Carouge vs Wil Prediction & H2H Stats
Switzerland
Challenge League Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge 
Match Events
25'
25'
Itaitinga
(Penalty)
46'
46'
Sub
Allou Y. In: Keita B.
Out: Allou Y.
56'
56'
Okafor I.
AI Match Summary
The Challenge League game between Etoile-Carouge and Wil finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wil
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Etoile-Carouge have managed 1.21 goals a game lately — Wil are scoring more at 1.52.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Etoile-Carouge Clean Sheet 20%
Wil Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Etoile-Carouge | Wil |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Wil
1:1
Apr 17, 2026 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Wil
2:0
Mar 22, 2026 Challenge League
Wil vs Etoile-Carouge
1:3
Dec 5, 2025 Challenge League
Etoile-Carouge vs Wil
0:0
Aug 8, 2025 Challenge League
Wil vs Etoile-Carouge
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Etoile-Carouge Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Wil Compare
Top Goalscorer Okafor I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Etoile-Carouge 32 / 100
Wil 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Etoile-Carouge Wil
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Etoile-Carouge scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
Wil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Etoile-Carouge went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Etoile-Carouge VS Wil
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Etoile-Carouge
(Home) 18 Sept
Kriens
4 : 1 Etoile-Carouge
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1 Winterthur
04 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
1 : 1 Wil
01 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
3 : 0 Etoile-Carouge
28 Aug
Etoile-Carouge
2 : 1 Rapperswil-Jona
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1 Winterthur
04 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
1 : 1 Wil
28 Aug
Etoile-Carouge
2 : 1 Rapperswil-Jona
07 Aug
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1 Xamax
24 Jul
Etoile-Carouge
3 : 0 Aarau
Page 1 of 3
Wil
(Away) 01 Oct
Altach
5 : 0 Wil
18 Sept
Wil
5 : 0 Stade Nyonnais
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0 Wil
04 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
1 : 1 Wil
31 Aug
Wil
2 : 2 Aarau
Page 1 of 7
01 Oct
Altach
5 : 0 Wil
11 Sept
Lausanne Ouchy
4 : 0 Wil
04 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
1 : 1 Wil
28 Aug
Yverdon
1 : 1 Wil
16 Aug
Rebstein
2 : 6 Wil
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lausanne Ouchy | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 17:3 | 21 |
| 2 | Winterthur | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:9 | 16 |
| 4 | Kriens | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 5 | Aarau | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
| 6 | Xamax | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12:17 | 12 |
| 7 | Rapperswil-Jona | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 8 | Etoile-Carouge | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | 9 |
| 9 | Wil | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:21 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6:23 | 2 |
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Challenge League (Promotion)
Relegation - Promotion League 2027/2028 (Main)
