Sport Picks
Etoile de Kivu vs Bukavu Dawa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
DR Congo
Ligue 1 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Etoile de Kivu in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Etoile de Kivu.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Etoile de Kivu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bukavu Dawa haven't matched Etoile de Kivu's recent run of results.
- Etoile de Kivu are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Etoile de Kivu Clean Sheet 20%
Bukavu Dawa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Etoile de Kivu | Bukavu Dawa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 26 |
| Wins | 10 | 2 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Bukavu Dawa vs Etoile de Kivu
0:1
Nov 19, 2025 Ligue 1
Etoile de Kivu vs Bukavu Dawa
3:1
Mar 17, 2025 Ligue 1
Bukavu Dawa vs Etoile de Kivu
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Ligue 1
Etoile de Kivu vs Bukavu Dawa
0:1
Jan 23, 2018 Ligue 1
Bukavu Dawa vs Etoile de Kivu
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Etoile de Kivu 85 / 100
Bukavu Dawa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Etoile de Kivu Bukavu Dawa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Etoile de Kivu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bukavu Dawa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.
Etoile de Kivu's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 26 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Etoile de Kivu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Etoile de Kivu VS Bukavu Dawa
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Etoile de Kivu
(Home) 15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5 Motema Pembe
12 Apr
FC MK Etancheite
0 : 3 Etoile de Kivu
09 Apr
AC Rangers
0 : 1 Etoile de Kivu
29 Mar
Celeste
1 : 0 Etoile de Kivu
07 Mar
Etoile de Kivu
3 : 0 OC Renaissance
Page 1 of 6
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5 Motema Pembe
07 Mar
Etoile de Kivu
3 : 0 OC Renaissance
04 Mar
Etoile de Kivu
3 : 0 FC Renaissance
01 Mar
Etoile de Kivu
2 : 2 Aigles du Congo
28 Jan
Etoile de Kivu
0 : 1 New Jack
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Bukavu Dawa
(Away) 14 Apr
New Jack
1 : 1 Bukavu Dawa
09 Apr
Bukavu Dawa
0 : 0 AS Maniema
02 Apr
Aigles du Congo
1 : 1 Bukavu Dawa
21 Mar
FC Renaissance
3 : 0 Bukavu Dawa
18 Mar
Bukavu Dawa
1 : 1 FC MK Etancheite
Page 1 of 6
14 Apr
New Jack
1 : 1 Bukavu Dawa
02 Apr
Aigles du Congo
1 : 1 Bukavu Dawa
21 Mar
FC Renaissance
3 : 0 Bukavu Dawa
07 Mar
AS Vita Club
1 : 0 Bukavu Dawa
28 Jan
OC Renaissance
0 : 0 Bukavu Dawa
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57:12 | 73 |
| 2 | St Eloi Lupopo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 55:27 | 63 |
| 3 | Don Bosco | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:24 | 56 |
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Manika | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 31:20 | 48 |
| 6 | Tanganyika | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 38:32 | 44 |
| 7 | Lubumbashi Sport | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 8 | Blessing | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 40 |
| 9 | Sanga Balende | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Saint-Luc | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 21:33 | 35 |
| 11 | Malole | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34:39 | 33 |
| 12 | New Soger | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 29:40 | 33 |
| 13 | Tshinkunku | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 14 | Groupe Bazano | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26:38 | 30 |
| 15 | Tshikas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25:40 | 28 |
| 16 | US Panda | 30 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 17:59 | 16 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Maniema | 27 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 38:10 | 52 |
| 2 | AS Vita Club | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 35:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Aigles du Congo | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:16 | 48 |
| 4 | Dauphins Noirs | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:20 | 45 |
| 5 | Celeste | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:13 | 44 |
| 6 | Etoile de Kivu | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:35 | 36 |
| 7 | Motema Pembe | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 33:25 | 35 |
| 8 | Anges Verts | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 26:32 | 29 |
| 9 | New Jack | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:26 | 29 |
| 10 | AC Rangers | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 21:35 | 29 |
| 11 | FC MK Etancheite | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:35 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Renaissance | 27 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 21:40 | 25 |
| 13 | OC Renaissance | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 14:33 | 22 |
| 14 | Bukavu Dawa | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 10:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Martin Pecheur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
