Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Motema Pembe in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Motema Pembe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etoile de Kivu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Etoile de Kivu have won more games recently than Motema Pembe.
- Model gives Etoile de Kivu a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Etoile de Kivu Clean Sheet 20%
Motema Pembe Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Etoile de Kivu | Motema Pembe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 27 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 14 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.35 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 15, 2026 Ligue 1
Etoile de Kivu vs Motema Pembe
1:5
Oct 31, 2025 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs Etoile de Kivu
4:2
Apr 9, 2025 Ligue 1
Motema Pembe vs Etoile de Kivu
0:0
Dec 28, 2024 Ligue 1
Etoile de Kivu vs Motema Pembe
1:0
May 31, 2024 Ligue 1
Etoile de Kivu vs Motema Pembe
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Etoile de Kivu 67 / 100
Motema Pembe 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Etoile de Kivu Motema Pembe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Etoile de Kivu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Etoile de Kivu scored in 69% of their last 26 games.
Motema Pembe has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.
Solid form: Etoile de Kivu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Etoile de Kivu VS Motema Pembe
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Etoile de Kivu
(Home) 15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5 Motema Pembe
12 Apr
FC MK Etancheite
0 : 3 Etoile de Kivu
09 Apr
AC Rangers
0 : 1 Etoile de Kivu
29 Mar
Celeste
1 : 0 Etoile de Kivu
07 Mar
Etoile de Kivu
3 : 0 OC Renaissance
Page 1 of 6
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5 Motema Pembe
07 Mar
Etoile de Kivu
3 : 0 OC Renaissance
04 Mar
Etoile de Kivu
3 : 0 FC Renaissance
01 Mar
Etoile de Kivu
2 : 2 Aigles du Congo
28 Jan
Etoile de Kivu
0 : 1 New Jack
Page 1 of 3
Motema Pembe
(Away) 18 Apr
AS Maniema
3 : 0 Motema Pembe
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5 Motema Pembe
11 Apr
Anges Verts
1 : 0 Motema Pembe
08 Apr
OC Renaissance
0 : 0 Motema Pembe
30 Mar
Motema Pembe
1 : 1 AS Vita Club
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
AS Maniema
3 : 0 Motema Pembe
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5 Motema Pembe
11 Apr
Anges Verts
1 : 0 Motema Pembe
08 Apr
OC Renaissance
0 : 0 Motema Pembe
26 Mar
FC Renaissance
1 : 1 Motema Pembe
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57:12 | 73 |
| 2 | St Eloi Lupopo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 55:27 | 63 |
| 3 | Don Bosco | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:24 | 56 |
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Manika | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 31:20 | 48 |
| 6 | Tanganyika | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 38:32 | 44 |
| 7 | Lubumbashi Sport | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 8 | Blessing | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 40 |
| 9 | Sanga Balende | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Saint-Luc | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 21:33 | 35 |
| 11 | Malole | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34:39 | 33 |
| 12 | New Soger | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 29:40 | 33 |
| 13 | Tshinkunku | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 14 | Groupe Bazano | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26:38 | 30 |
| 15 | Tshikas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25:40 | 28 |
| 16 | US Panda | 30 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 17:59 | 16 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Maniema | 27 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 38:10 | 52 |
| 2 | AS Vita Club | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 35:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Aigles du Congo | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:16 | 48 |
| 4 | Dauphins Noirs | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:20 | 45 |
| 5 | Celeste | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:13 | 44 |
| 6 | Etoile de Kivu | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:35 | 36 |
| 7 | Motema Pembe | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 33:25 | 35 |
| 8 | Anges Verts | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 26:32 | 29 |
| 9 | New Jack | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:26 | 29 |
| 10 | AC Rangers | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 21:35 | 29 |
| 11 | FC MK Etancheite | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:35 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Renaissance | 27 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 21:40 | 25 |
| 13 | OC Renaissance | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 14:33 | 22 |
| 14 | Bukavu Dawa | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 10:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Martin Pecheur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)
