Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Etoile de Kivu vs OC Renaissance

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Sat, Mar 7, 2026
3 - 0
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Etoile de Kivu host OC Renaissance in the Ligue 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. OC Renaissance have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Etoile de Kivu have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.63. Head-to-head, Etoile de Kivu have won 3 to OC Renaissance's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.56 - 0.88) back Etoile de Kivu to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Etoile de Kivu
6%
Draws
4%
OC Renaissance
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Etoile de Kivu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • OC Renaissance haven't matched Etoile de Kivu's recent run of results.
  • Etoile de Kivu are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Etoile de Kivu Clean Sheet 20%
OC Renaissance Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etoile de Kivu OC Renaissance
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 10 4
Draws 6 12
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.63 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Etoile de Kivu vs OC Renaissance
3:0
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 1
OC Renaissance vs Etoile de Kivu
0:1
Apr 3, 2025 Ligue 1
Etoile de Kivu vs OC Renaissance
0:0
Dec 11, 2024 Ligue 1
OC Renaissance vs Etoile de Kivu
1:1
May 28, 2024 Ligue 1
OC Renaissance vs Etoile de Kivu
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile de Kivu 85 / 100
OC Renaissance 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etoile de Kivu OC Renaissance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KIV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Etoile de Kivu scored in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Defensive concern: OC Renaissance conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Etoile de Kivu stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Etoile de Kivu VS OC Renaissance
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Etoile de Kivu

(Home)
15 Apr
Etoile de Kivu
1 : 5
Motema Pembe
12 Apr
FC MK Etancheite
0 : 3
Etoile de Kivu
09 Apr
AC Rangers
0 : 1
Etoile de Kivu
29 Mar
Celeste
1 : 0
Etoile de Kivu
07 Mar
Etoile de Kivu
3 : 0
OC Renaissance
Page 1 of 6

OC Renaissance

(Away)
15 Apr
OC Renaissance
2 : 3
AS Vita Club
11 Apr
Celeste
5 : 0
OC Renaissance
08 Apr
OC Renaissance
0 : 0
Motema Pembe
02 Apr
OC Renaissance
1 : 1
FC Renaissance
27 Mar
New Jack
2 : 2
OC Renaissance
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mazembe30234357:1273
2St Eloi Lupopo30196555:2763
3Don Bosco30168643:2456
4Simba30148833:2750
5Manika301212631:2048
6Tanganyika301351238:3244
7Lubumbashi Sport301110927:2643
8Blessing301171233:3140
9Sanga Balende301061425:3436
10Saint-Luc30981321:3335
11Malole30961534:3933
12New Soger30961529:4033
13Tshinkunku307101323:4131
14Groupe Bazano30791426:3830
15Tshikas306101425:4028
16US Panda30512417:5916
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AS Maniema271313138:1052
2AS Vita Club271311335:1350
3Aigles du Congo26139432:1648
4Dauphins Noirs26136735:2045
5Celeste26128636:1344
6Etoile de Kivu261061034:3536
7Motema Pembe26714533:2535
8Anges Verts26611926:3229
9New Jack26611920:2629
10AC Rangers27781221:3529
11FC MK Etancheite26681215:3526
12FC Renaissance274131021:4025
13OC Renaissance264101214:3322
14Bukavu Dawa26281610:3714
15Martin Pecheur00000:00
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)