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Etoile de L'Est vs Rayon Sport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Muhire K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2023/2024 game between Etoile de L'Est and Rayon Sport finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rayon Sport.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Etoile de L'Est
35%
Draws
39%
Rayon Sport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rayon Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Rayon Sport carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Rayon Sport have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Etoile de L'Est Clean Sheet 20%
Rayon Sport Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etoile de L'Est Rayon Sport
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 5 15
Losses 16 3
Goals Scored 0.59 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 Premier League
Etoile de L'Est vs Rayon Sport
0:1
Oct 11, 2023 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Etoile de L'Est
2:1
Mar 6, 2022 Premier League
Etoile de L'Est vs Rayon Sport
1:1
Nov 27, 2021 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Etoile de L'Est
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etoile de L'Est Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Rayon Sport Compare

Top Goalscorer Muhire K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile de L'Est 32 / 100
Rayon Sport 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etoile de L'Est Rayon Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rayon Sport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Etoile de L'Est found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

Rayon Sport let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Etoile de L'Est has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Etoile de L'Est VS Rayon Sport
0.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Etoile de L'Est

(Home)
15 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
1 : 2
Gicumbi
12 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 0
Kigali FC
05 Sept
Amagaju
2 : 0
Etoile de L'Est
11 May
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 3
Bugesera
04 May
Police
1 : 2
Etoile de L'Est
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Rayon Sport

(Away)
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Sunrise
12 Sept
Rayon Sport
0 : 0
Panthere
04 Sept
Panthere
1 : 1
Rayon Sport
27 Aug
Rayon Sport
0 : 1
Police
07 Aug
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Mahia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 30 19 11 0 47:17 68
2 Rayon Sport 30 17 6 7 42:25 57
3 Musanze 30 16 5 9 34:24 53
4 Mukura Victory Sports 30 13 8 9 39:32 47
5 Kigali FC 30 12 9 9 26:25 45
6 Kiyovu 30 11 11 8 38:34 44
7 Police 30 12 3 15 35:34 39
8 Amagaju 30 10 9 11 30:31 39
9 Gasogi United 30 10 6 14 31:34 36
10 Gorilla 30 9 8 13 26:33 35
11 Marines 30 9 8 13 32:42 35
12 Muhazi United 30 7 12 11 21:29 33
13 Bugesera 30 7 11 12 37:35 32
14 Etincelles 30 8 8 14 35:44 32
15 Sunrise 30 9 5 16 25:40 32
16 Etoile de L'Est 30 9 4 17 20:39 31
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)