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Etoile de L'Est vs Sunrise Prediction & H2H Stats

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Mubiru Y.
12' Event
Godspower G.
77' Event
Sadick S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2023/2024 game between Etoile de L'Est and Sunrise finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Etoile de L'Est
30%
Draws
47%
Sunrise
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sunrise

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Etoile de L'Est have managed 0.59 goals a game lately — Sunrise are scoring more at 0.83.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Etoile de L'Est Clean Sheet 27%
Sunrise Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etoile de L'Est Sunrise
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.59 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2024 Premier League
Etoile de L'Est vs Sunrise
2:2
Aug 26, 2023 Premier League
Sunrise vs Etoile de L'Est
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etoile de L'Est Compare

Top Goalscorer Godspower G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sadick S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sunrise Compare

Top Goalscorer Mubiru Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Prosper N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile de L'Est 33 / 100
Sunrise 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etoile de L'Est Sunrise

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunrise Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunrise's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Etoile de L'Est's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Etoile de L'Est stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Etoile de L'Est VS Sunrise
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Etoile de L'Est

(Home)
15 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
1 : 2
Gicumbi
12 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 0
Kigali FC
05 Sept
Amagaju
2 : 0
Etoile de L'Est
11 May
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 3
Bugesera
04 May
Police
1 : 2
Etoile de L'Est
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Sunrise

(Away)
17 Sept
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Sunrise
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0
Sunrise
11 May
Sunrise
3 : 1
Marines
04 May
Amagaju
1 : 0
Sunrise
28 Apr
Sunrise
2 : 1
Gorilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 30 19 11 0 47:17 68
2 Rayon Sport 30 17 6 7 42:25 57
3 Musanze 30 16 5 9 34:24 53
4 Mukura Victory Sports 30 13 8 9 39:32 47
5 Kigali FC 30 12 9 9 26:25 45
6 Kiyovu 30 11 11 8 38:34 44
7 Police 30 12 3 15 35:34 39
8 Amagaju 30 10 9 11 30:31 39
9 Gasogi United 30 10 6 14 31:34 36
10 Gorilla 30 9 8 13 26:33 35
11 Marines 30 9 8 13 32:42 35
12 Muhazi United 30 7 12 11 21:29 33
13 Bugesera 30 7 11 12 37:35 32
14 Etincelles 30 8 8 14 35:44 32
15 Sunrise 30 9 5 16 25:40 32
16 Etoile de L'Est 30 9 4 17 20:39 31
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)