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Etoile Filante vs AJE Bobo-Dioulasso

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League 2025/2026 Stade du 4 Aout, Ouagadougou
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Kabore O.
Assist: Zongo A.
80' Event
Minoungou R.
Assist: Silga W. A. U.
90' Event
Ouedraogo O.
Assist: Awoudor C.

AI Match Summary

Etoile Filante in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Etoile Filante.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Etoile Filante
30%
Draws
33%
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Etoile Filante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • AJE Bobo-Dioulasso haven't matched Etoile Filante's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Etoile Filante's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Etoile Filante here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Etoile Filante Clean Sheet 68%
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etoile Filante AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 12 8
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 0.73 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Premier League
Etoile Filante vs AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
3:0
Sep 26, 2025 Premier League
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso vs Etoile Filante
1:1
Apr 6, 2019 Premier League
Etoile Filante vs AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
5:1
Oct 14, 2018 Premier League
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso vs Etoile Filante
1:2
May 5, 2018 Premier League
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso vs Etoile Filante
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etoile Filante Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabore O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Minoungou R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

AJE Bobo-Dioulasso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile Filante 95 / 100
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etoile Filante AJE Bobo-Dioulasso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etoile Filante Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

AJE Bobo-Dioulasso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Etoile Filante has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Etoile Filante found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Etoile Filante VS AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Etoile Filante

(Home)
10 May
Real Du Faso
0 : 0
Etoile Filante
03 May
Etoile Filante
3 : 0
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
26 Apr
Sporting Cascades
0 : 0
Etoile Filante
18 Apr
Etoile Filante
0 : 1
ASF Dioulasso
12 Apr
Etoile Filante
2 : 0
Majestic
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AJE Bobo-Dioulasso

(Away)
10 May
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
4 : 2
Sporting Cascades
03 May
Etoile Filante
3 : 0
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
26 Apr
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
4 : 2
ASFA Yennega
17 Apr
AS Douanes
1 : 1
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
12 Apr
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
1 : 2
USFA
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 30 20 9 1 47:15 69
2 USFA 30 12 13 5 31:17 49
3 Sporting Cascades 30 10 13 7 25:18 43
4 AS Douanes 30 10 13 7 29:29 43
5 Majestic 30 11 10 9 26:27 43
6 CFFEB 30 10 10 10 25:25 40
7 Salitas 30 10 10 10 29:31 40
8 Kadiogo 30 10 8 12 27:27 38
9 ASFA Yennega 30 9 11 10 24:28 38
10 Vitesse 30 9 10 11 25:25 37
11 Real Du Faso 30 9 10 11 21:23 37
12 ASF Dioulasso 30 9 10 11 25:31 37
13 Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 8 12 10 24:28 36
14 Etoile Filante 30 7 12 11 22:29 33
15 Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 9 15 11:28 27
16 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 8 16 27:37 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)