Sport Picks

Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade du 4 Aout

Vitesse

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Etoile Filante play Vitesse in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Etoile Filante averaged 0.73 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Vitesse averaged 0.83 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, Etoile Filante won 1, Vitesse won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Etoile Filante and 1.25 for Vitesse. This points to a Vitesse double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Etoile Filante

30%

Draws

39%

Vitesse

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vitesse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Etoile Filante picked up more points recently compared to Vitesse.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 54%

Over 2.5 Goals 28%

Over 3.5 Goals 17%

Over 4.5 Goals 8%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%

Etoile Filante Clean Sheet 19%

Vitesse Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 49%

Second Half Goal 51%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Etoile Filante	Vitesse
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	9
Draws	12	10
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	0.73	0.83
Goals Conceded	0.97	0.83
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Premier League

Etoile Filante vs Vitesse

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 4 - 4

0:2

Nov 2, 2025 Premier League

Vitesse vs Etoile Filante

Possession: 55% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

3:1

Feb 22, 2025 Premier League

Vitesse vs Etoile Filante

Possession: 59% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

4:2

Dec 1, 2024 Premier League

Etoile Filante vs Vitesse

Possession: 55% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Jun 10, 2024 Premier League

Etoile Filante vs Vitesse

Possession: 58% - 46% Cards: 4 - 0

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etoile Filante Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Vitesse Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorou A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bagaya T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile Filante 32 / 100

Vitesse 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Etoile Filante Vitesse

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vitesse or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +27.4%

4.55

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Etoile Filante attacking → ← attacking Vitesse

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etoile Filante scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Vitesse let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Etoile Filante went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Vitesse lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 37

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rahimo	30	20	9	1	47:15	69
2	USFA	30	12	13	5	31:17	49
3	Sporting Cascades	30	10	13	7	25:18	43
4	AS Douanes	30	10	13	7	29:29	43
5	Majestic	30	11	10	9	26:27	43
6	CFFEB	30	10	10	10	25:25	40
7	Salitas	30	10	10	10	29:31	40
8	Kadiogo	30	10	8	12	27:27	38
9	ASFA Yennega	30	9	11	10	24:28	38
10	Vitesse	30	9	10	11	25:25	37
11	Real Du Faso	30	9	10	11	21:23	37
12	ASF Dioulasso	30	9	10	11	25:31	37
13	Sonabel Ouagadougou	30	8	12	10	24:28	36
14	Etoile Filante	30	7	12	11	22:29	33
15	Bobo-Dioulasso	30	6	9	15	11:28	27
16	AJE Bobo-Dioulasso	30	6	8	16	27:37	26