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Stadium Background

Etoile Matoury vs Concarneau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de France 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Lavigne V.
(Penalty)
53' Event
Jung A.
59' Event
Haabo J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Concarneau in this Coupe de France 2018/2019 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Etoile Matoury
20%
Draws
63%
Concarneau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Concarneau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Etoile Matoury haven't matched Concarneau's recent run of results.
  • 63% — that's where the model lands on Concarneau taking it.
  • Concarneau arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Concarneau, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Etoile Matoury Clean Sheet 20%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Etoile Matoury Concarneau
Matches Played 12 31
Wins 4 11
Draws 0 11
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.58 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.92 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2018 Coupe de France
Etoile Matoury vs Concarneau
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Etoile Matoury Compare

Top Goalscorer Apouyou J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Concarneau Compare

Top Goalscorer Jung A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fleury M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Etoile Matoury 10 / 100
Concarneau 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Etoile Matoury Concarneau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Concarneau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etoile Matoury scored in 83% of their last 12 games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Concarneau let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Etoile Matoury went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Concarneau
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Etoile Matoury

(Home)
15 Nov
Etoile Matoury
1 : 2
Le Geldar
28 Jul
Etoile Matoury
2 : 4
Paradise
26 Jul
Moca
1 : 0
Etoile Matoury
30 Nov
Etoile Matoury
0 : 2
Thionville
23 Nov
Mana
0 : 3
Etoile Matoury
Page 1 of 3

Concarneau

(Away)
03 Oct
Concarneau
2 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1
Concarneau
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0
Caen
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Concarneau
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2
Thionville
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Charitoise 2
Carrieres Gresillons 1
FCA Troyes 1
Bourges 2
Valenciennes 3
Dunkerque 1
Vieux-Habitants 0
Thaon 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Amiens SC -
Nancy 1
Annecy 0
Heillecourt 0
St. Louis Neuweg 3
Entente Crest-Aouste 2
Montelimar 0
De Volvic 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Stade Pontivyen 2
Vignoc Hede Guipel 0
Chapelle 0
Avranches 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guingamp -
Bastia 2
Le Mans 1
Marck 0
Saint-Omer 1
Saint-Malo 1
Lorient 0
Etoile Matoury 2
Concarneau 3
GFC Ajaccio 1
Auch 0
Olympique de Valence 0
Beaucairois 3
Lege Capferret 6
Tartas St. Yaguen 4
Riom 0
Noisy-le-Grand 1
Viry-Chatillon 1
Montlucon 0
Auxerre 0
Angouleme CFC 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Red Star 3
Avenir Lozere 2
Epernay 1
Avion 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caen -
Orleans 2
Caennaise 0
Morteau Montlebon 0
Paray 1
Sainte-Genevieve 4
Sainte-Suzanne 0
Stade Poitevin 0
Aiglon Lamentin 1
Niort 2
Chauray 0
Chatellerault 0
Challans 2
Vertou 2
Bellevue Nantes 0
La Brede 0
Bergerac 8
Monaco -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Frejus Saint Raphael 1
Toulon 0
Beziers 1
Canet Roussillon 2
St Quentin 5
Wasquehal 3
Saint-Amand 0
Prix les Mezieres 2
CMS Oissel 5
Bourny Laval 1
Sarreguemines 1
Metz 2
Lille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Illkirch 3
Saint Avold 0
Haguenau 3
Sochaux 4
Limonest 4
Feillens 0
Vimy 0
Creteil 2
Rodez 5
Luzenac 2
St Orens 1
Sete 2
Saint-Pryve 1
US Matoury 0
Compiegne 0
Troyes 2
La Chapelle 3
Escaudoeuvres 1
Biars-Bretenoux 2
Aurillac 3
Brest 4
Vilaine Atlantique 1
Football Avenir de Theix 0
Vannes 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
PSG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grand Quevilly 4
Cherbourg 1
Plouvorn 0
Pontivy 1
Grenoble 3
Beaune 0
Chassieu Decines 1
Hyeres 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Les Herbiers 2
Chauvigny 0
Cholet 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 2
Besancon FC 1
Jeanne d'Arc 0
Chataigneraie 1
Tours 2
Gravelines 3
ASC Hazebrouck 1
Chambly 0
Neslois 1
Chamalieres 2
Melun 0
Limoges 0
Villefranche 1
IC Croix 1
Paris FC 0
Olympique Marcquois 0
Boulogne 2
St. Maur Lusitanos 1
JA Drancy 0
Bourg Peronnas 0
Raon L Etape 1
Clermont 3
Gueugnon 1
Magenta 0
FC Bobigny 93 1
Ales 2
AC Ajaccio 0
Salinieres 0
Marignane GCB 1
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Epinal 4
Golden Lion 2
Reipertswiller 1
Olympique Strasbourg 4
Schiltigheim 1
Avize-Grauves 0
Rossfeld 0
Biesheim 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dijon -
Vitre 1
Saint Lo Manche 0
Guipavas 0
Montagnarde 1
Lannion FC 3
Stella Maris Douarnenez 0
Blois Foot 41 1
Longueau 2
Bordeaux -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Villers Houlgate 2
Mondeville 0
Gamaches 1
Le Havre 7
Andrezieux 1
Louhans Cuiseaux 0
Val Lyonnais 1
Annecy-le-Vieux 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
Nimes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cote Bleue 3
Sainte-Rose 1
Montceau 1
Lyon - La Duchere 4
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Lens 2
Football Club Nogent 0
AS Dragon 0
Versailles 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
Sannois 4
Mtsapere 0
Borgo 2
Sedan 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Chateauroux 3
Fontenay 2
Genets 1
Pau 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
1/64-finals
Lyon -
TBD -
Charitoise 1
Bourges 2
Valenciennes 6
Thaon 3
TBD -
Amiens SC -
Nancy 2
St. Louis Neuweg 0
Entente Crest-Aouste 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Stade Pontivyen 1
Avranches 0
TBD -
Guingamp -
Bastia 3
Saint-Omer 1
Saint-Malo 0
Concarneau 2
GFC Ajaccio 2
Beaucairois 0
Lege Capferret 1
Noisy-le-Grand 2
Viry-Chatillon 4
Angouleme CFC 2
TBD -
Angers -
Red Star 1
Avion 0
TBD -
Caen -
Orleans 4
Paray 0
Sainte-Genevieve 2
Aiglon Lamentin 3
Niort 1
Challans 0
Vertou 1
Bergerac 3
Monaco -
TBD -
Frejus Saint Raphael 2
Canet Roussillon 4
St Quentin 4
Prix les Mezieres 3
CMS Oissel 0
Metz 1
Lille -
TBD -
Illkirch 0
Sochaux 1
Limonest 2
Creteil 1
Rodez 0
Sete 2
Saint-Pryve 3
Troyes 2
La Chapelle 0
Aurillac 1
Brest 3
Vannes 2
TBD -
Rennes -
PSG -
TBD -
Grand Quevilly 1
Pontivy 2
Grenoble 2
Hyeres 1
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Les Herbiers 6
Le Poire Sur Vie 1
Besancon FC 1
Tours 2
Gravelines 1
Neslois 0
Chamalieres 0
Villefranche 1
IC Croix 3
Boulogne 2
St. Maur Lusitanos 2
Raon L Etape 3
Clermont 2
FC Bobigny 93 1
Ales 0
Marignane GCB 2
St Etienne -
TBD -
Epinal 0
Olympique Strasbourg 1
Schiltigheim 2
Biesheim 1
TBD -
Dijon -
Vitre 2
Montagnarde 0
Lannion FC 1
Longueau 2
Bordeaux -
TBD -
Villers Houlgate 1
Le Havre 5
Andrezieux 3
Annecy-le-Vieux 1
TBD -
Marseille -
Nimes -
TBD -
Cote Bleue 1
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Lens 4
Versailles 2
TBD -
Reims -
Sannois 1
Sedan 0
TBD -
Montpellier -
Chateauroux 4
Pau 0
TBD -
Nantes -
1/32-finals
Lyon 2
Bourges 0
Valenciennes 0
Amiens SC 1
Nancy 1
Le Puy-en-Velay 0
Stade Pontivyen 2
Guingamp 4
Bastia 3
Concarneau 2
GFC Ajaccio 1
Noisy-le-Grand 2
Viry-Chatillon 1
Angers 0
Red Star 0
Caen 1
Orleans 3
Aiglon Lamentin 2
Niort 1
Bergerac 2
Monaco 1
Canet Roussillon 0
St Quentin 1
Metz 2
Lille 1
Sochaux 0
Limonest 0
Sete 1
Saint-Pryve 3
Aurillac 1
Brest 2
Rennes 3
PSG 4
Pontivy 0
Grenoble 0
Strasbourg 1
Les Herbiers 2
Tours 1
Gravelines 0
Villefranche 3
IC Croix 2
Raon L Etape 0
Clermont 1
Marignane GCB 2
St Etienne 6
Olympique Strasbourg 0
Schiltigheim 1
Dijon 3
Vitre 1
Longueau 0
Bordeaux 0
Le Havre 1
Andrezieux 2
Marseille 0
Nimes 0
Lyon - La Duchere 3
Toulouse 4
Nice 1
Lens 0
Reims 2
Sannois 1
Montpellier 0
Chateauroux 1
Nantes 4
1/16-finals
Lyon 2
Amiens SC 0
Nancy 1
Guingamp 2
Bastia 2
Noisy-le-Grand 1
Viry-Chatillon 0
Caen 6
Orleans 3
Bergerac 2
Monaco 1
Metz 3
Lille 1
Sete 0
Saint-Pryve 0
Rennes 2
PSG 2
Strasbourg 0
Les Herbiers 0
Villefranche 2
IC Croix 1
Marignane GCB 0
St Etienne 3
Dijon 6
Vitre 3
Le Havre 0
Andrezieux 1
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Toulouse 5
Reims 4
Sannois 0
Nantes 1
1/8-finals
Lyon 2
Guingamp 1
Bastia 2
Caen 3
Orleans 1
Metz 0
Lille 1
Rennes 2
PSG 3
Villefranche 0
IC Croix 0
Dijon 3
Vitre 3
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Toulouse 0
Nantes 2
Quarter-finals
Lyon 3
Caen 1
Orleans 0
Rennes 2
PSG 3
Dijon 0
Vitre 0
Nantes 2
Semi-finals
Lyon 2
Rennes 3
PSG 3
Nantes 0
Final
Rennes 3
PSG 2