Sport Picks
Etoile Sahel vs Ben Guerdane - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tunisia
Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 Stade Olympique de Sousse, Sousse 
Match Events
10'
10'
Ben Mcharek A.
46'
46'
Sub
Chaabani M. In: Smichi N.
Out: Chaabani M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ben Guerdane
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ben Guerdane haven't matched Etoile Sahel's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Etoile Sahel Clean Sheet 17%
Ben Guerdane Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Etoile Sahel | Ben Guerdane |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 28, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs Ben Guerdane
0:0
Aug 21, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Ben Guerdane vs Etoile Sahel
0:0
Apr 12, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Etoile Sahel vs Ben Guerdane
2:1
Dec 15, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Ben Guerdane vs Etoile Sahel
1:3
Nov 5, 2023 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Ben Guerdane vs Etoile Sahel
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Etoile Sahel 31 / 100
Ben Guerdane 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Etoile Sahel Ben Guerdane
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ben Guerdane Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Etoile Sahel scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Ben Guerdane's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Etoile Sahel remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Etoile Sahel VS Ben Guerdane
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Etoile Sahel
(Home) 12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0 Etoile Sahel
06 Sept
Etoile Sahel
1 : 1 Jeunesse Sportive
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1 Metlaoui
23 Aug
Esperance Tunis
3 : 2 Etoile Sahel
14 May
CS Sfaxien
3 : 1 Etoile Sahel
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Etoile Sahel
1 : 1 Jeunesse Sportive
30 Aug
Etoile Sahel
2 : 1 Metlaoui
09 May
Etoile Sahel
1 : 0 CA Bizertin
25 Apr
Etoile Sahel
1 : 0 AS Marsa
04 Apr
Etoile Sahel
0 : 0 Esperance Tunis
Page 1 of 3
Ben Guerdane
(Away) 20 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 0 Hammam-Lif
16 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 1 CS Sfaxien
12 Sept
Monastir
3 : 3 Ben Guerdane
30 Aug
Olympique Beja
1 : 2 Ben Guerdane
14 May
Ben Guerdane
0 : 1 Esperance Tunis
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Monastir
3 : 3 Ben Guerdane
30 Aug
Olympique Beja
1 : 2 Ben Guerdane
08 May
Stade Tunisien
0 : 0 Ben Guerdane
30 Apr
JS Kairouan
0 : 1 Ben Guerdane
10 Apr
AS Gabes
0 : 1 Ben Guerdane
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Africain | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 43:10 | 66 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 45:11 | 63 |
| 3 | CS Sfaxien | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 44:13 | 62 |
| 4 | Stade Tunisien | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 28:14 | 48 |
| 5 | Monastir | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 28:19 | 45 |
| 6 | Zarzis | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 7 | Etoile Sahel | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 28:30 | 41 |
| 8 | Metlaoui | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 19:25 | 40 |
| 9 | Jeunesse Sportive | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 24:33 | 36 |
| 10 | Ben Guerdane | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 18:22 | 35 |
| 11 | AS Marsa | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 26:33 | 35 |
| 12 | CA Bizertin | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 18:29 | 33 |
| 13 | Olympique Beja | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 18:39 | 32 |
| 14 | JS Kairouan | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 20:41 | 31 |
| 15 | Soliman | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 15:31 | 27 |
| 16 | AS Gabes | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 11:37 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
